Rumors of war

God grants liberty only to those who love it, and are always ready to guard and defend it.

– Daniel Webster

Over the weekend Iran launched a massive drone, cruise and ballistic missile attack against Israel. Political and pundit reactions and hot takes on Israeli and world responses started pouring out before we even knew much in the way of details as the strike was ongoing.

We also had Biden White House murmurings being reported that President Biden was warning Israel not to retaliate.

There’s a segment of the American right that has become hardcore isolationist and won’t support US military action anywhere or for any reason and they sound, to me, the same as the segment of the American left that reacts the same way – no war under any circumstances. I’ve always felt that isolationists have the luxury of being isolationists in America, because we have a strong military, prepared to defend our nation.

So, then we get to speaking truth about Iran – Iran declared war on America decades ago. Their official policy has been “Death to America” since 1979. When they declare Death to America and rant about defeating the Great Satan (America) as their top tier foreign policy objective, we should believe them.

This truth about Iran should guide American foreign policy decisions, but it doesn’t.

Democrats believe the Obama Iran deaI would change Iran’s foreign policy toward the US and deter Iran’s belligerent actions in the Middle East. The Democrat position that’s high on Obama Iran deal pipedreams seems delusional in light of Iran’s continued attacks against America and American allies. The reality is Iran has been attacking American military assets and personnel continually, especially via Iranian-backed proxies and Shia militias in Iraq, rebels in Yemen and Hezbollah in Lebanon. Since Hamas attacked Israel on October 7th last year, Iranian-backed groups have attacked US military interests over 170 times and three US servicemembers were killed in an Iranian-backed attack in January.

It’s myopic to pretend that we’re not involved in the ongoing war that Israel is engaged in. For all of Biden’s telling Netanyahu not to retaliate, he ordered the US military to help defend Israel during that weekend Iranian attack. The Biden policy remains convoluted and incoherent toward achieving any real strategic aims. Biden officials continually talk out of both sides of their mouths and pretend that words can gloss over deeds – so, yes, they keep saying we support Israel, but at the same time they’re undercutting Israel at every turn. They are also still committed to Obama’s Iran deal and believe that the Iranian government, which proclaims “Death to America,” can be trusted to act in good faith.

Biden’s public lecturing Israel about a ceasefire in Gaza and now urging Israel not to retaliate against Iran is read by America’s enemies the same way they read the American political right urging no aid to Ukraine and urging Ukraine to stop fighting – our enemies read that as American weakness and appeasement. History clearly shows that this will lead to our enemies being emboldened to more aggressive actions. In the most simplistic terms, I think, Iran wants to be the dominate power in the Middle East, Russia wants to retake former Soviet territories, China wants to take Taiwan and replace the United States as the world’s #1 superpower. The foreign policy expert class remains widely divided on how to contend with our adversaries’ aspirations

There are silly and simplistic reactions calling for a too forceful response and some calling for a too weak response, however after over 170 Iranian-backed attacks against US military interests in six months, three dead US servicemembers and now this attack on Israel, it seems like the no retaliation response would be suicidal for Israel and pretending the US isn’t involved in this war is likewise delusional.

There’s an argument about the monetary cost of military action being too high with the state of our economy, but I would argue the economic costs, if we allow Iran, Russia and China to disrupt more global shipping, (hint, that’s a large part of what Iran, Russia and China have been doing), and if they take more aggressive actions to expand their power beyond their borders will be even more costly.

There are various levels of military responses the US could take to make sure Iran gets the message. Even US missile strikes can send a strong message or a weak message, as we learned during the Clinton administration and which the Obama and Biden administration are now following suit. If the US targets Iranian interests or assets that are not high-value (the Biden approach), the message is we aren’t serious. Those are signals of weakness – just going through the motions of a response and that’s really just more appeasement. Of course, there can be over-the-top responses, like the people who rant about nuking adversaries. The better response for America is likely somewhere in the middle or supporting Israel responding as it sees fit (which will be a strong response) and then getting more aid to Israel quickly.

Appeasement and not responding to aggression are actions. That is choosing not to defend your country or interests. History shows that not responding to military aggression can result in a heavy cost, including emboldening adversaries to make more aggressive military moves and leading to wider conflicts. Deterrents can work, but the Biden administration so far has offered only muddled word salad responses and missile strikes against low-value targets.

The reality is America does have direct interests with what happens in Ukraine and what happens in Israel.

We aren’t an island unto ourselves.

Weighing what we know vs. the unknowns, brought me back to thinking about a 2015 piece, Thucydides Was Right: Defining the Future Threat, written by Dr. Colin S. Gray and published at the US Army War College. I’m going to be rereading this piece. I talked to one of my sisters on the phone yesterday and we were talking about leaders who react to crises emotionally. My sister is retired from the Air Force and has a lot of experience handling crisis communications. She echoed my belief that emotional responses are terrible leadership in a crisis and will lead to bad decisions. In fact, making decisions based on emotion and fear will lead to bad decisions for anyone. We definitely need calmer heads, but too many of our elected leaders and most of the news media now seem to spend more time on their social media hot take drama than they do in calmly and carefully reading and analyzing information. Instead, they rush out with emotionally-charged statements to try to garner news media attention.

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We can all try to pay it forward

It’s been a couple weeks since I wrote a blog post and mostly I’ve been feeling like why add to the online glut of online opinion pieces, when I could be outside working in my garden or working on other things. I’ve also stepped away from following so much news and social media content.

What’s particularly unhelpful in my life is social media content that’s hyping lists of things to buy now, before something dire happens and it’s not available. There’s quite a bit of social media homesteading/prepper content where that constant drama and fearmongering has become their daily bread and butter. Those content creators rail about criticisms that they’re fearmongering and stand firm about their righteousness, as their apocalyptic clickbait titles suck in viewers… and revenue for them. Fear and drama sell.

The news media has followed that formula in their coverage for decades too and it’s true, that “if it bleeds, it leads.” On Monday there was a total solar eclipse over a swath of the United States. I live in an area that had a partial eclipse, but two of my children and the grandkids live in areas where there was a total eclipse. I normally follow big astronomical happenings and find them fascinating, but between the right-wing doomsday type crazy that erupted weeks before this solar eclipse and left-wing crazy with fearmongering about closing schools to protect children from looking at the eclipse with bare eyes and then the all-around fearmongering about threats of large crowds/terrorism, well, I didn’t feel anything but annoyed. I turned on FOX News that day too and their coverage was insultingly phony- trying to generate enthusiasm and ending up acting like this was some earth-shattering event that would change the world. It was over-the-top on faked excitement.

The thing is pop culture and most of America have reacted accordingly to these media-generated events and now since the advent of social media, millions of Americans react and follow their favorite social media content creators in the same way. Heck, I’m susceptible too, especially when it comes to content creators promoting kitchen gadgets, gardening stuff and I limit my consumption of needlework & crafting videos, because I will be tempted to purchase more supplies – that I definitely don’t need.

Where I draw the line though is people talking like they are God’s messenger promoting their fearmongering. It’s not helping people to constantly hype the sky-is-falling to scare people into action and there’s a lot of that on social media. I personally don’t believe God wants us to live in fear and even in a crisis, I prefer to surround myself with calm, cheerful and upbeat people rather than the sky-is-falling type people. Most people function better with positive leadership.

The other tried and true manipulation is to talk about “people like us” vs. “them,” to con viewers into believing they are the good people. It’s not being good to work at dividing people. I know lots of good people who hold totally different views than mine – they have different political and religious beliefs, but that doesn’t make them part of some “them” group, because they’re Americans and entitled to believe whatever the heck they choose to believe. If a major SHTF event happens, we likely will be around the people who happen to be where we are when the event happens. If you’re surrounded by your hand-picked group, well, wonderful, but most people will be dealing with the people who are around them when the event happens. We likely will have to deal with all sorts of people to survive.

There are definitely many big things happening – wars spreading, climate/weather events, economic turmoil, political and social turmoil too, but I don’t see how creating constant drama about “the collapse is happening” or “beware of April 8th” or any of the other online conspiracy drama helps anyone become better prepared for adversity. It’s more constructive to figure out ways to manage cheerfully, even through adversity, than it is to try to borrow trouble every day. By nature I’ve always had a preparedness mindset and I try to avoid problems, by planning ahead for “what ifs.” Often I fail or something I hadn’t thought about happens. There have been plenty of times when I’ve had to ask other people for help.

True story: My son recently visited a friend. My son told me that one day his friend was at work and the power went out in his friend’s apartment, so he texted him and asked where he keeps his emergency lighting supplies. His friend didn’t have any emergency lighting supplies. I ordered a box of 4 more LED battery-powered lanterns on amazon and I told my son to take two of those for his friend when he visits again. That’s a very small thing to help someone.

Many people have done small things that helped me out a great deal and I’ve been very grateful for that. We can all pay it forward, as we can. Robert Heinlein’s 1951 novel, Between Planets, popularized that phrase, “pay it forward,” but the concept is probably as old as there have been groups of people. Trying to help people, where we can and with a cheerful heart seems a better approach than this constant drama that has been spreading, especially within the online homestead/prepping communities

It’s best to take people as you find them and then work to find some common ground. America used to have a culture of preparedness. Certainly a good bit of that was Cold War fearmongering, but there was also the Boy Scout/Girl Scout type preparedness, where kids were taught that being prepared was part of being a good citizen. The scouting preparedness was about acquiring skills. America could definitely benefit from a people who learn more skills and practice good citizenship, but we can leave the hiding under our desks in fear behind.

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Happy Easter

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A gloomy reality check: America did lose

It’s a safe bet most Americans reflexively would not support American military action anywhere, for any reason. Over 20 years of military adventurism, thousands of American lives lost and gravely injured, billions upon billions of dollars spent and in the end, last week a top retired general finally admitted that our mission in Afghanistan was a “strategic failure.” That was retired General Mark Milley, testifying before the House Foreign Affairs Committee.

A former top US military official stating an assessment of over 20 years of American blood and treasure expended on a foreign policy effort that was a STRATEGIC FAILURE should demand accountability and a serious study of what all went wrong and they should seek to learn from those lessons, but that’s not how Washington works. No one in any of the administrations, Bush, Obama, Trump or Biden administration or any of the prominent policy experts involved in crafting these policies will ever admit they made serious strategic mistakes.

Here’s a CBS News link to that 3+ hours House Foreign Affairs Committee hearing last week, where retired General Milley and General McKenzie testified about the decision-making and failures with the Afghanistan withdrawal. If you’re interested, Milley’s assessment of “strategic failure” comes in his opening statement at minute 21:47 in that CBS News video. Clearly, the blame for the withdrawal debacle lies with the Biden White House and State Department, who ignored and dismissed all of the Pentagon’s advice and warnings. It’s an utter disgrace that Anthony Blinken is still the Secretary of State and Jake Sullivan is still the National Security Advisor.

However there’s a bigger picture that continually gets lost in these highly-charged partisan issues. For decades before 9/11 US strategic-thinking operated from a “small footprint” in the Middle East and predominantly Muslim countries, due to the clash of western culture with Islamic culture. The hostility within the Muslim world toward the secular West was no mystery and US policy operated that it was better to limit American military presence in the Muslim world. The US government was well aware of the rise of Al Qaeda and back in the 1990s there were several attacks by radical jihadists against US military interests. Bin laden had been issuing fatwas swearing death to America long before 9/11. Al Qaeda and later ISIS comprise the Sunni brand of radical Islam, but there’s also the vast Shia brand, controlled by Iran, who likewise preach “Death to America” as one of their core Islamic missions.

Both our “Global War On Terrorism:” and our entire building western-style democracies among tribal Islamic people, who have no cultural underpinnings that bolster a democratic state, were delusional from the start. The magic ingredient to success in Afghanistan, centered on the idea that we could somehow build some sort of western-style police and military in Afghanistan, and from that the government we were propping up in Afghanistan would flourish. Except those Afghan security forces were completely dependent on the US military to function. The entire fabric of Afghan culture is rife with deeply-embedded corruption and it’s also a narco-state where opium production is a lucrative part of the economy, so these idealistic “democracy-building” goals were not based on any sort of reality-based assessments. Opium production under the Taliban is booming, according to the UN, with a 32% increase in 2022, per this UN report: Afghanistan opium cultivation in 2022 up by 32 per cent: UNODC survey.

Experts throughout the American foreign policy class latched onto the democracy-building projects and then during the Obama administration, we moved from regime change in Afghanistan and Iraq, where the Taliban was hosting Al Qaeda leadership and Iraq, where Saddam Hussein had been a thorn in America’s side for over a decade, to Secretary of State Clinton pushing to topple Gaddaffi in Libya and the push to arm imaginary “moderate Syrian rebels” to topple al-Assad in Syria. In the process of American military adventurism pursuing the “Democracy in the Middle East” delusion, America became a force for regional destabilization. That’s the hard truth.

In 2021, the Afghan leader America was propping up fled the country and the Afghan security forces, we had been training for 20 years, crumbled in days, as the Taliban seized control of Kabul. While it’s good that Milley and McKenzie, showed up at this hearing, they were part of that Pentagon groupthink that persisted all those years, even though they had to know none of the catchphrase strategy they all mouthed was any sort of coherent strategy. The other big loss, that could be even more ominous, is there’s been a widespread erosion of American trust in US military leadership over the past 20 years. As the years rolled by, top generals repeated the same “winning hearts and minds” spiel, but many Americans did not believe America was winning and even worse, the perception that we were being lied to grew. An America where the American people lose faith and trust in their military leadership reminds me of our post-Vietnam era and our military morale and readiness suffered because of that. The Afghanistan withdrawal provided the American people with real-time images of “strategic failure” and images eerily reminiscent of Vietnam, with a US embassy being evacuated from a rooftop, blazed across the media: Afghanistan: Near-identical images of US evacuating Saigon and Kabul go viral as Taliban seize power

Milley admitting at this hearing that our Afghanistan adventure was a strategic failure was latched onto by Republicans and right-wing media to feed their fury against the Biden administration over the Afghanistan withdrawal debacle. Democrats and the liberal media are still trying not to talk about the Afghanistan withdrawal debacle and they just flip to Trump trash talk.

Both sides refuse to admit to the big picture American strategic failure and no one’s talking much about what that portends for America now and in the future. If we lost, the obvious question is who won when America made such a humiliating and disastrous withdrawal from Afghanistan in 2021? The Taliban came out a big winner and they’re back in power in Afghanistan. Al Qaeda is emboldened. ISIS is emboldened. China, Russia and Iran are on the move to assert global economic and military dominance in the world. China has offered economic and development aid to the Taliban. China also secured rights to Afghanistan’s vast mineral reserves. Here’s a 2021 CNN Business article: The Taliban are sitting on $1 trillion worth of minerals the world desperately needs. Iran has aided Hamas and is funding and arming the Houthi rebels launching drone and missile attacks against American ships.

The October 7th Hamas attack in Israel was carried out with direct aid and military support from Iran. Moscow just suffered a major terrorist attack perpetrated by ISIS. Despite Putin wanting to point the finger at Ukraine, because that feeds his domestic propaganda effort, ISIS immediately claimed responsibility for this attack.

There’s a potent Russian propaganda effort in America too and it gains traction within a segment of the American right, who are virulently anti-Ukraine and perceive Putin as a victim. They’ve bought into some sort of belief that it’s the mean Ukraine/West “poking the bear” Russian victimhood. It’s absurd, because although the Obama administration was clumsily involved in the toppling of the pro-Russian Ukraine government in 2014, Russia was doing the same thing in Ukraine and elsewhere in former Soviet bloc countries. Then rather than stand up to Putin, Obama quickly folded and left Ukraine with part of the country embroiled in a frozen conflict against Russian troops and allowed Russia to annex Crimea. Putin has had a long-range goal to regain influence and control over as much of the former Soviet Union territory as possible – that’s not “poking the bear,” that’s a very aggressive bear on the move.

With the Biden administration’s dangerous, lax US border policy, millions of illegal aliens have flooded into the US and our own Homeland Security has reported a dramatic influx of military age men from countries hostile to the US – from China, Iran, Afghanistan, and elsewhere. At the same time the FBI director, Christopher Wray, has been warning about the escalating cyberattacks against critical US infrastructure being perpetrated largely by Chinese hackers. Wray testified to Congress recently that US cyber experts are outnumbers 50 to 1 by Chinese hackers. 9/11 was carried out by 19 Al Qaeda jihadists. That propelled America down over 20 years of strategic failure dealing with Al Qaeda. We’re in a more dangerous strategic threat environment now than before 9/11 – that’s a hard pill for most Americans to swallow.

The Moscow terrorist attack last week has resulted in 137 deaths so far. Russian authorities have charged 4 gunmen and detained 7 others, according to this linked ABC News article. The article also reports:

” The U.S. said it shared intelligence with Russia that warned that ISIS was preparing similar attacks on concerts in Moscow just two weeks ago. A U.S. State Department official said Saturday that the U.S. government had shared information on a possible attack with Russian authorities in accordance with its longstanding “duty to warn” policy.”

“The U.S. Embassy in Moscow issued a warning on March 7, advising U.S. citizens to avoid large gatherings for 48 hours, saying extremists have “imminent plans” to target large-scale gatherings in Moscow.”

Whether Americans are weary of “forever wars” or not – we lost in our “Global War On Terrorism” and democracy-building projects in the Mid-East.

The winners are on the move.

What happened in Israel and Moscow should be wake-up calls – more radical jihadist terrorist attacks are likely, especially in Europe and the US. While I’d like to forecast sunshine and rainbows, I believe the forecast is more dark clouds and storms ahead.

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Fool me once and I’m done, thanks

The illegal immigration issue has been a political football for as long as I can remember. Here’s a 2020 article from the University of Arizona, A Brief Legislative History of the Last 50 Years on the U.S.-Mexico Border, with short excerpts on illegal immigration policy in the US through both Democrat and Republican administrations. Somehow this problem, despite Americans’ support for secure borders, despite experts galore, despite taxpayer money galore, and despite political promises galore, never gets resolved. A cynical person might conclude that special interests profiting from the illegal immigration problem hold more power over politicians in Washington than the voters, who elect them. The majority of Americans consistently support securing our borders.

Even worse than our leaders in Washington not dealing with the illegal immigration problem, is American tax dollars are actually funding it. Here’s a Daily Caller article from 2023: EXCLUSIVE: Red Cross Packets Show Migrants Where To Cross The US Border, detailing how DHS funds the American Red Cross and many other non-profits, particularly religious charities, who provide shelter, food, medical care, etc. for illegal immigrants. These groups rake in millions upon millions in federal funding and are deeply invested in the illegal immigration “business.”

Haiti’s government collapsed again, which happens repeatedly. When Haitian internal chaos escalates, thousands upon thousands of Haitians usually flee and many head to the US. The news media is filled with reports of violent gangs running rampant in Haiti. Right-wing media reported on a Haitian gang with a leader named Barbeque, because he’s rumored to advocate cannibalism. Of course, that led to liberal media backlash. Here’s a NBC report from a couple days ago: Elon Musk and right-wing influencers use ‘cannibal’ claims to smear Haitian migrants amid crisis. This NBC news report insists that the right-wing media hyping cannibalism is baseless and meant to disparage Haitians as cannibals, but it includes this paragraph:

“The accusations of widespread cannibalism are based on what experts said was a likely intimidation tactic from select gang members: In some videos, the most prominent examples being at least two years old, alleged members of violent gangs in Haiti appear to bite into human flesh. Experts said these videos are likely part of propaganda campaigns designed to scare rivals and terrorize local Haitians rather than a reflection of common or normalized behavior. One former armed group went by the name “Cannibal Army.”

NBC referenced “experts” who say this was likely an intimidation tactic by gang members. I hope their experts are more reliable than the Biden administration experts, who assured us that all those Afghan refugees were being properly vetted.

So far, we’ve recently been warned by the FBI director about potential terrorists in the midst of the massive influx on illegals and that there are thousands of military-age male illegals from China, Iran, and other places flooding in and he doesn’t know their intentions or even how many of them got into the US. The prospect of a violent gang of cannibals invading our country somehow seems about par for the course with the Biden administration.

So, with the prospect of an increase in Haitian illegal immigrants heading to America, there are two political approaches so far. Governor Ron DeSantis of Florida activated military and got legislation passed to deal with this impending crisis: Florida Deploys Officers, Fleet to Halt Potential Haitian Influx.

The Biden administration is concerned about “vetting” Haitians and considering expanding the use of Guantanamo Bay for processing Haitian migrants. Here’s a CNN article from a couple days ago: Biden administration discussing using Guantanamo Bay to process possible influx of Haitian migrants. This article has this line, “The Department of Homeland Security has been dusting off mass migration event plans, as they’ve done before with Haiti, including in 2022 as the number of Haitians interdicted at sea ticked up.”

One can hardly wait to see how the Biden administration, which has botched every crisis thus far, handles this one. Back in 2021 with the Afghanistan withdrawal and that effort at refugee evacuation, the Biden administration repeatedly assured us that all refugees were being carefully vetted. This assurance seemed hard to believe when reporters were showing the scenes of mobs of refugees and chaos at the airport in Kabul. The liberal media repeated the White House assurances about this careful vetting process, without question.

Here’s a August 2021 CNN piece, Here’s how Afghan refugees coming to the US are being vetted, describing this super-duper vetting process:

“National security adviser Jake Sullivan told reporters on Monday that this vetting includes “biometric and biographic background checks” that must be cleared before Afghan evacuees can be brought to the US or relocated to another country. Biometric vetting often refers to voiceprints, iris scans, palm prints and facial photos.”

A year later, here’s a CBS news report, DHS officials lacked “critical data” when vetting Afghan evacuees, watchdog finds. The DHS Office of the Inspector General issued a 34 page report and concluded:

“U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) did not always have critical data to properly screen, vet, or inspect the evacuees,” the report by DHS Inspector General Joseph Cuffari said. “We determined some information used to vet evacuees through U.S. Government databases, such as name, date of birth, identification number, and travel document data, was inaccurate, incomplete, or missing.”

We went from 2021 WH assurances of biometric and biographic background checks to 2022 an IG investigation that reinforced that the chaos we were seeing from news reports was the reality.

How many times should we believe the Biden administration when they assure us they’re on top of a crisis situation? Should we feel confident that a DHS official is dusting off mass migration event plans? No one was fired or held accountable for that Afghanistan withdrawal debacle and the same crowd that bungled that are still in charge now. Are you confident they’re prepared for a potential Haitian migrant crisis?

At this point, considering the liberal brain rot and how many Americans have taken to the streets to champion Hamas terrorists, after they massacred over a thousand Israelis (mostly civilians), I would not be surprised if the next liberal cause is defending Haitian cannibal gangs. Truly, I can already imagine looney liberals protesting in the streets defending Haitian cannibal gangs and waving campfire roasting forks…

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Some thoughts on protecting our children’s minds and TikTok

The US House of Representatives is preparing to vote this week on legislation to force TikTok ownership to change. TikTok has direct ties to the CCP, China’s communist ruling party. For several years, many technology experts and US lawmakers have made allegations that China is using this platform to feed propaganda to American young people. Reports are this current bill being considered doesn’t ban TikTok in America, but will force TikTok to cut ties to the CCP. Here’s a Time article explaining the proposed bill: What to Know About the Bill That Could Get TikTok Banned in the U.S. 

TikTok has recently waged a massive advertising campaign to convince Americans that TikTok is as American as apple pie and a force for good in the world. I’ve seen TikTok ads of a nun talking about how she can reach people with her Christian message, a ranching couple, who claim TikTok allows them to share their food production stories, and others. These ads are trying to sell TikTok as a positive force in American culture. Of course, there are many prominent right-wing influencers, who rant about TikTok and yet make their living scouring TikTok for the craziest liberal videos, to incite their right-wing followers. They rely on TikTok for their bread and butter, to create right-wing Outrage Theater content.

I don’t use TikTok.

The potential for insidious hostile foreign efforts to poison our kids’ minds certainly alarms many Americans, but will a new law forcing TikTok to be sold, in an effort to sever the CCP’s control, really save our kids’ minds? I don’t have any strong opinion about this legislation, other than I don’t think TikTok or hostile foreign propaganda is the real threat to the minds of American young people. We have chosen to allow our popular culture to become a wasteland. It’s easy to blame evil Marxists, but for all the alarm and outrage, most people, right-wingers included, go with the flow – especially when it comes to social media, entertainment, and tech gadgets.

Over the weekend I listened to an audiobook of Ray Bradbury’s dystopian novel, Fahrenheit 451. The story is set in an America in the future, where people’s lives are consumed by non-stop entertainment and a life filled by technological distractions. This constant noise and distraction have rendered people unable to concentrate and engage in critical thinking or have any meaningful conversations. Personal relationships have devolved to shallow and hollow interactions. People spend their days just reacting to technological and pharmaceutical stimulation.

The main character, Guy Montag, is a fireman and his wife Mildred lives her life staring at her “parlor walls,” where they have wall-sized TV screens coving three walls and her big dream is get a parlor wall for the fourth wall. They paid for some adapter that “personalizes” the broadcasts, with the broadcasters calling out to “Mrs. Montag” constantly. Mildred considers the characters on the screens to be her family. When she’s not in her parlor, she stuffs “seashell radios” in her ears that block out the real-world noises.

Without giving away the entire plot, Montag being a fireman no longer means putting out fires, but instead the firemen set fire to books, which are banned, and to the homes of people who break the rules.

Bradbury’s 1953 story envisioned wall-sized TV screens, which exist today and we have air pods to stuff in our ears, but he didn’t envision small cell-phone screens that keep many people and kids trapped for most of their waking hours today. In recent years there have been numerous studies that detail how damaging the social media and online scrolling/clicking behavior is to our attention spans. This article, Your attention span is shrinking, but you can grow it back, reports:

“Gloria Mark, Chancellor’s professor in the Department of Infomatics at University of California, Irvine, wrote a book about the disappearing attention span. Her just-released “Attention Span: A Groundbreaking Way to Restore Balance, Happiness and Productivity” says that nearly 20 years ago, people averaged 2.5 minutes of focused attention when they were working online or doing something involving screens, before switching to a different screen. By 2012, that time span had shrunk to 75 seconds. And by 2021, it had compacted to a measly 47 seconds.”

I spend too much time online and have been working to wean myself away from some of the screen time. All that scrolling hasn’t been good for my attention span and most of my online time isn’t productive in any way, shape or form. While many people take pride in their ability to “multi-task” and flit between various tasks online and in real life, all at the same time, I’ve found that my brain needs less distractions for better performance of most tasks. My attention span, after being online years, first with a PC, then also using a cell phone, isn’t what it used to be, where I could read many hours at a time. I’ve been carving out more quiet time now, where there’s no technological distractions.

Millions of kids and young adults only know this online life and fixating on screens. For years, studies have come out highlighting all the negative effects of smart phones on personal communication and social skills and for years other experts counter and point out all the marvelous good electronic devices bring to people’s lives. From personal experience, I do believe screen time can easily become both a huge time waster for me and has decreased my attention span. I also notice that many people hide behind their smart phones rather than make eye contact or speak in public. And I’ve also been in social situations where I felt totally alone, because other people around me were constantly looking at their phones. These behaviors before the digital age would have been considered extremely rude. There’s also something disconcerting to see young people sitting together with none of them speaking to each other, as each one stares at his/her cell phone.

How all of this came to mind listening to Fahrenheit 451 was I kept thinking it probably wasn’t necessary to ban books or burn them, because once the people are hooked on technological stimulation constantly, books become like obsolete junk, that few people even pay attention to. A character like Mildred Montag, who isn’t content with 3 wall-sized TV screens chattering constantly and dreams of a fourth “parlor wall,” isn’t ever going to curl up in a quiet corner with a book – even if books were legal.

The only Bradbury work I recall reading was Dandelion Wine, when I was a kid and sci-fi/dystopian was never one of my favorite genres, but I recommend this novel. It will make you think. Bradbury was a short-story writer, before writing novels, so Fahrenheit 451 is a quick read, being a little over 200 pages. I listened to the audiobook version on Hoopla and it was under 6 hours.

There’s a reason shorter and shorter social media formats, like TikTok, are replacing longer forms – like outdated blogs. People want to scroll by quickly. It’s unlikely they’re going to read a news article that’s several paragraphs long, so them sitting down to read books that are hundreds of pages is unlikely. Sure, there are still many bookworms around, but I’d bet there are fewer among younger people, who only know the digital age. Perhaps, we think in outdated terms about totalitarian control, when often people voluntarily give away their free will, preferring to be swept along with the fads and cool, shiny gadgets advertisers assure will make their lives better, in every way. Too many people rush to adopt all the weird new words, phrases, hashtags that partisans and activists amplify. They also rush to plaster emojis behind their username on social media to express their solidarity with causes most know nothing about.

For all the noise many people make about their “freedoms,” it often seems to me that most people allow themselves to be held captive by bright, shiny tech objects and crave more and more and more of them, especially if everyone they know has them. If one social media platform disappears or changes, assuredly another one, that’s just as bad or worse, will fill the void – and millions upon millions of Americans will rush to download the app. The other uncomfortable truth when it comes to protecting our children online, for many reasons, from being clueless on technology to not seeing any harm, most parents don’t carefully monitor their kids online activity. A new law or banning TikTok can’t fix that.

Note 3/12/2024: Here’s a Pew Research link from November 15, 2023, More Americans are getting news on TikTok, bucking the trend seen on most other social media sites , which states about a third of US adults under 30 are now getting their news on TikTok. TikTok usage is growing in the US.

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Biden delivers pitch-perfect State of Our Disunity address

Last night President Biden arrived late to deliver the annual State of the Union address. Once at the podium, the president bypassed the normal protocol of the Speaker of the House introducing the president and just launched into a vitriolic 2024 campaign speech.

He railed against Republicans and yelled for over an hour. There was no effort to speak of national unity.

Biden finally spoke the name of the young woman in GA, who was murdered by an illegal immigrant recently, but he muddled her name, saying “Lincoln” instead of Laken Riley and he blamed Republicans for the border problems. The truth is Biden rescinded all of President Trump’s tougher border policies in 2021 when he took office and that has led to this massive illegal immigration increase in America.

A man yelled out during the SOTU address and was escorted out by security. It was later reported that what he yelled was, “Abby Gate,” and he is a Gold Star father, whose son was killed during Biden’s disastrous Afghanistan withdrawal. President Biden has never spoken to this Gold Star father or spoken his son’s name publicly.

For Biden’s efforts, Democrats and liberals raced on social media and TV news to praise Biden’s “fiery” speech and cheer his vigor.

The president’s hour-plus diatribe was followed by the GOP rebuttal speech delivered by Alabama Senator Katie Britt. Britt used her kitchen as the backdrop for a high-pitched, roller-coaster of female histrionics that seemed overly staged and disingenuous.

Both speeches were just more bad political theater. To complete the evening’s political clown show optics, Rep. Rashida Talib and some her Democrat Squad members came decked out in black and white Palestinian keffiyeh scarves and Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene donned a red MAGA hat.

Both speeches were an insult to the American people, talking down to us and worst of all using gimmicky ploys to try to manipulate our emotions.

Biden did make one big foreign policy announcement – a plan for the US military to spearhead building a pier in a Gaza port, to facilitate humanitarian aid deliveries to Gaza civilians. In typical Biden administration fashion – there were no details given, but Democrats roared with applause last night.

Israel and Egypt have maintained a blockade on Gaza for over a decade to deter arms supplies and counter Hamas terrorist activities and now Biden is suggesting putting the US military in the midst of this active Israel-Hamas war zone to build a pier. The same architects of the Afghanistan withdrawal debacle are still in the Biden administration and still in charge – no one was relieved or fired. These same people would be heading up this Gazan pier project. It’s an insane idea to stick American troops into some war zone as humanitarian workers.

So, there was the Gold Star father being led away by security, as he reminded us of the Biden Afghanistan withdrawal debacle, and along comes Biden to try to lead America into a “humanitarian” Gazan pier-building project in the middle of a hot war zone. Sure, that makes perfect sense…

It’s been reported that this Gold Star father has been arrested.

A ranting old man was talking about putting US troops into a war zone for a humanitarian pier-building project and he insisted at the same time that there will be “no boots on the ground” and Democrats happily cheered. An angry father whose son died as the result of a Biden foreign policy debacle was led away by security and arrested…

Who the hell is going to protect US troops while they build this pier?

The inmates are running the asylum – that’s the real state of our union.

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A few more blips in the information war

A few news bits, that will likely be quick blips that flit by caught my attention. There are so many bigger stories going on with the presidential politics, wars, and more high-profile issues, but these warrant some attention.

On March 4th, there were reports of three cables under the Red Sea being cut. The cause is unknown at this time. Here’s a bit from the Washington Post, :

“DUBAI, United Arab Emirates — Three cables under the Red Sea that provide global internet and telecommunications have been cut as the waterway remains a target of Yemen’s Houthi rebels, officials said Monday. Meanwhile, a Houthi missile attack set a ship ablaze in the Gulf of Aden, but caused no injuries.

What cut the lines remains unclear. There has been concern about the cables being targeted in the Houthi campaign, which the rebels describe as an effort to pressure Israel to end its war on Hamas in the Gaza Strip. The Houthis have denied attacking the lines, however.”

https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2024/03/04/red-sea-undersea-cables-yemen-houthi-rebels-attacks/2f2c6b8a-da34-11ee-b5e9-ad4573c62315_story.html

US News & World Report ran a piece, 3 Red Sea Data Cables Cut as Houthis Launch More Attacks in the Vital Waterway This article reports:

“It described the cuts as affecting 25% of the traffic flowing through the Red Sea. It described the Red Sea route as crucial for data moving from Asia to Europe and said it had begun rerouting traffic.”

An attack affecting 25% of data moving from Asia to Europe seems like a blip to pay attention to.

There’s been a ransomware attack going on for over a week in the US, crippling many pharmacies and healthcare providers connected with Change Healthcare. Wired reports:

“The ransomware attack targeting medical firm Change Healthcare has been one of the most disruptive in years, crippling pharmacies across the US—including those in hospitals—and leading to serious snags in the delivery of prescription drugs nationwide for 10 days and counting. Now, a dispute within the criminal underground has revealed a new development in that unfolding debacle: One of the partners of the hackers behind the attack points out that those hackers, a group known as AlphV or BlackCat, received a $22 million transaction that looks very much like a large ransom payment.”

https://www.wired.com/story/alphv-change-healthcare-ransomware-payment

Last year the group that my primary care provider belongs to was hit by a ransomware attack, that took down their phone and computer system. I had to physically go into the office to schedule an appointment and when I saw my provider, they couldn’t access records on their computer system. They also couldn’t process payments. Ransomware attacks against hospitals, banks, governments, businesses in the US are increasing. A few years ago, my local water department was hit by a ransomware attack that took a couple months to resolve. During that time online payments could not processed, so customers had to physically show up with cash or a check at the water department or mail in a check.

Yesterday there was a short-lived blip on the domestic ideological culture war front:

This crazy announcement was authentic, but due to social media backlash from the right the VA Secretary overruled this decision. I saw some prominent right-wingers on X applaud the VA Secretary and suggest the person who made that decision be fired. This blip might seem like one random leftist crazy within the VA making this decision, but I am sure this is just part of a vast, orchestrated left-wing culture war effort. The person who penned that public announcement likely won’t be fired and we have no idea how many documents, records, or other information within the US government are quietly being altered, removed, or “edited” to fit the DEI thought police.

Why make a public announcement banishing an iconic image of America’s victory in WWII within all VA facilities?

Back in 2020 during the BLM protests, when the statue-toppling exploded as an acceptable form of public protest, all sorts of politicians, historians, experts rushed to embrace the BLM position that the protest was against US Civil War statues of Confederate generals and therefore noble and heroic, not criminal destruction of public property. Several US military bases were identified for renaming. Many Americans bought into the BLM cause, despite the glaring Marxist ideological undertones swirling. There were scenes of white people participating in white privilege sessions, where they were berated for their “white privilege” and pressured to publicly renounce their “white privilege.” These sessions were eerily similar to Mao’s Chinese cultural revolution and the struggle sessions, that used this exact form of ritualized public humiliation to force conformity to the new rules. Speaking out against anything connected to the BLM protests risked being labeled a racist.

Tell-tale signs were present back in 2020 that the statue-toppling was about more than statues of Confederate generals. By 2022, the historic homes of Thomas Jefferson and James Madison, two of America’s most famous founding fathers, have now “gone woke,” A 2022 FOX News opinion piece, Jefferson, Madison’s homes become woke monuments attacking Founding Fathers’ legacies, by Douglas MacKinnon asserted:

Jefferson’s Monticello is being reimagined to “finish the restoration of the landscape of slavery” — there is signage and interactive displays which incessantly link Jefferson to that subject. One of the main tours now at his home is entitled: “Slavery at Monticello.” On the website of the internationally famous home, visitors see: “Thomas Jefferson wrote that ‘all men are created equal,’ and yet enslaved more than 600 people over the course of his life.” 

There have been numerous other blips of efforts to erase American history since 2020, statues other than Confederate generals have been targeted, numerous historical sites are being “reimagined” is a popular leftist term that’s now used to smear founding fathers as evil racists, very similar to how the trans movement mainstreamed the term “gender-affirming care” to normalize puberty blocking drugs and mutilating genitals of children, as the only humane way to deal with gender dysphoria in children.

On February 14, 2024, protestors showed up at the National Archives and dumped a reddish powder on the display of the original US Constitution, while police looked on. The protestors were allowed to give their speech, before police escorted them away. Here’s a bit from an AP report:

““We are determined to foment a rebellion,” one man said, in a video posted on social media. “We all deserve clean air, water, food and a livable climate.”

Police then led the pair away, leaving a trail of powder out the door.

In the immediate aftermath, cleanup crews were reluctant to use any sort of water or liquids in the cleanup, especially since they were still unsure of the exact makeup of the powder.”

https://apnews.com/article/constitution-protest-red-powder-national-archives-evacuation-2a6dcfadbf35a3263887ac2fce1e813e

Here’s a NBC news report on the incident, National Archives closes after climate change protesters dump red powder on U.S. Constitution, which states, “The two men were immediately detained and escorted out by security personnel on site.” Well, I guess here we’ll have to haggle over the meaning of the word “immediately, ” since the NBC report includes a link to this social media video that was posted:

In the social media video the security personnel allowed the protestors to pour reddish powder all over the display and stood by and allowed them to make a prepared speech and it looks to me like the security guards didn’t even try to intervene until about 50 seconds into this video. The one protestor was spreading the red powder across the display case and this is an irreplaceable American historical document, but there was no rush to protect it.

In WWII, there were all sorts of efforts to try to preserve art, historical documents and books from Nazi destruction. Librarians, scholars, and even bookshop owners risked their lives hiding books and documents to preserve them for posterity. The US government embarked on hiring civilians, many librarians, to collect and microfilm documents, publications, and books from overseas, as part intelligence-gathering, but also to preserve this information from destruction. Now, we have security personnel, who just stood there while two extremists poured red powder on a display case of one of our most precious historical documents.

America today is nothing like the generation who won WWII.

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Let’s try to see a brighter future

“Hang on to your hat.  Hang on to your hope.  And wind the clock, for tomorrow is another day.”

-E.B. White 

With last week’s cell phone outage in America, I mentioned ordering a free state road map online. Friday the road map and the Georgia 2024 Official State Travel Guide arrived in the mail. Since most states try to attract tourists, it’s likely many other states offer free road maps. It took only a minute or two to fill out the online request form and submit it. Having an up-to-date paper road map in my car won’t take up much space and while having a road map in case GPS stops working isn’t as vital as having a spare tire in case of a flat, it felt like a good thing to have in my car. Here in southeast GA, we don’t get freezing temps often, but I still keep an ice scraper in my car too and have used it on occasion. The ice-scraper is like a road map – doesn’t take up much space and can be an invaluable tool in certain circumstances.

My father worked in highway construction for many years and he taught me how to read road maps when I was a kid. He explained the US interstate highway numbering system and taught me to pay attention to mile markers on the interstate. Mile markers on north-south interstates begin the mile count on the south side of the state. Mile markers on east-west interstates start the mile count on the west side of the state. Road maps contain a legend, a box with information about the symbol meanings and a scale in miles. Using that scale you can easily figure out distances, which can be useful if there’s no GPS or internet map apps available.

We also had geography classes in elementary school when I was a kid (1960s) and many kids learned map reading and navigation skills in scouting. Despite my non-existent sense of direction, having a map and paying attention to mile markers, signs and landmarks has helped me find my way many times.

Modern technology has led to great comforts and conveniences in our daily life. It’s also permeated almost every nook and cranny of how our society functions and created dependency on new technologies. There are some diehards, who for various reasons cling to old-fashioned ways or decide to abandon modern life and seek a lifestyle that’s off-grid, but most people embrace new technology without any deep-thinking or concerns. If new gadgets and gizmos hit the market, most of us go with the trends. Asking serious questions about new technologies and discussions about downsides usually come long after a new technology has become deeply entwined in our daily lives and become a normal part of our culture – and much harder to change or abandon.

I’m not an innovative or creative thinker and I certainly am not someone with a pulse on the cutting edge of technology and social change. The late Alvin Toffler was a futurist who wrote about the technology and information revolution that we’re still in the midst of and he wrote several popular books, Future Shock, Powershift and The Third Wave. His opening paragraphs in his introduction of The Third Wave, published in 1980, sounds like he’s writing about today:

“In a time when terrorists play death-games with hostages, as currencies careen amid rumors of a third World War, as embassies flame and storm troopers lace up their boots in many lands, we stare in horror at the headlines. The price of gold– that sensitive barometer of fear–breaks all records. Banks tremble. Inflation rages out of control. And the governments of the world are reduced to paralysis or imbecility.

Faced with all this, a massed chorus of Cassandras fills the air with doom-song. The proverbial man in the street says the world has “gone mad,” while the expert points to all the trends leading to catastrophe.

This book offers a sharply different view.”

The Third Wave, by Alvin Toffler, page 1

In The Third Wave Toffler broke civilization into three main waves, agricultural, which lasted thousands of years, then the industrial wave, which lasted hundreds of years. Toffler predicted we’re in the midst of the Third Wave, a technological/information wave that will fundamentally change every aspect of human life.

Most of us don’t look at the world in such big picture terms as Toffler did and I know I don’t think like this. Toffler wasn’t trying to predict the future, but to explain the changes he studied throughout history and then use that information to formulate a framework for how the future might evolve.

On Hoopla I recently listened to an audiobook, The Chaos Imperative: How Chance And Disruption Increase Innovation, Effectiveness and Success by Ori Brafman. He is an innovative thinker, who specializes in organizational culture and leadership. In his book he makes the case that during the Dark Ages, the large number of deaths in Europe from the plague, created chaos, but also gaps in institutions, like the Catholic church, which allowed what he termed unlikely suspects, to enter and make dramatic changes. He asserted that those gaps allowed new ideas and new ways of thinking to gain traction inside institutions – leading to The Renaissance. Brafman also argues that those gaps (what he terms white space)- allow for pockets of unstructured discussions and interactions among individuals from different areas (and levels) of a company or institution, who ordinarily don’t interact. Those interactions can lead to innovation and positive changes or help find solutions to problems within an organization. Brafman contends chaos can be the catalyst for creating gaps for some innovative advancements to breakthrough rigid hierarchal structures.

Last week my oldest sister, who is 71, was talking to me on the phone about seeing a news story about the liberal political bias in AI and said perhaps we should go back to having encyclopedias and reference books (I never got rid of those in my home). Her comments surprised me, because she embraced computer technology years earlier than I did and she’s one of those annoying, loyal Mac computer people, who reminds us constantly about Mac’s superiority.

Why don’t we ask more questions before we adopt new technologies?

For years I kept asking more tech-savvy family and friends why computer gaming systems, cell phones and other high-tech consumer goods require purchasing a totally new product, so often, while, for instance, I could use the same telephone for decades? They never had any satisfactory answers and I settled on it’s a big, money-making game these companies are playing on consumers. The same tech experts who drive pop culture and normalized this disposable high-tech culture are the same people now preaching to us about sustainability, conserving resources, and in recent years there’s been a pop culture craze on pushing minimalism. I never had a drawer filling up with old telephone equipment with my landline phone, like I do with cell phones.

A steady stream of fearmongering swirls about the dangers of AI, but it’s actual real people who have been imposing their political biases into every aspect of our lives for many years. AI is an emerging technology, but the real people with power who impose their ideologies on us have been around for decades. The liberal PC censorship efforts have been more pervasive and effective than any angry, right-wing parents at school board meetings demanding sexually-explicit books be removed from school libraries could possibly be. Right-wing media power has grown as the right-wing media expanded its reach, but the liberal media still dominates in America. AI creates a vast new area in the technological realm and since the tech world is dominated by liberals, it seems to me this has been forming another front in the political information war.  AI will likely bring about vast positive changes too, so a throwing out the baby with the bathwater approach probably isn’t a wise course of action.

What’s an ordinary person to do?

The most important thing we can all do is not get worked up or worry. Rather than ditch the modern technology for the old ways, I continue to use both, but I’d rather spend my money on physical books than e-books. I don’t have confidence that purchasing an e-book, means I will have access to that e-book, in the same way as when I purchase a physical book and can have that book, free from alterations, for the rest of my life. At the same time, I do use Hoopla and Libby, which are free web and media streaming services available through my local library. I still use the e-books I purchased on my kindle.

I will continue to use map apps and GPS, but I am back to looking at physical maps too. I have thousands of links saved on my Pinterest, but I kept my cookbooks and craft/needlework books and patterns. I use both. As these new technologies change, rather than try to hide under a rock, in fear, perhaps the better course would be to weigh pros and cons, then pick how much or how little of these new technologies become a part of our daily lives. Our partisan news info war battleground is not a neutral or objective way to gather or assess information. The social media spaces echo and amplify the news media info war drama.  

Trying to learn more about these new technologies isn’t easy for many people who grew-up before the digital age and weren’t involved in technology, but we can read more and try to avoid reacting in fear constantly.  My kids were in middle school when the internet age exploded in the 1990s.  My grandchildren only know the digital world.  Keeping bridges between the two worlds, pre-digital and digital, seems vital as these technological changes accelerate.  The present becomes our past and the future becomes our present.  We can’t go backwards.  The idea that we’re going to somehow revert back to the “good old days” has never happened no matter how many old people sit around complaining. 

Trying to look for some of those “white spaces,” where we try to look at things from a different perspective or try to understand someone with a completely different perspective isn’t easy for me, but that’s what I’m working on.  I had heard of Alvin Toffler decades ago, but I never picked up any of his books until now.  This innovative thinker, Ori Brafman, is a leftie Berkeley professor, and definitely not someone I would have listened to 20 years ago.  His previous book, The Starfish and the Spider: The Unstoppable Power of Leaderless Organizations, began circulating among the US military, as they were grappling with Al Qaeda (a non-hierarchal organization) and then ISIS.  That’s when I became aware of his book and read it.  It was fascinating and I learned a great deal.  Too many partisans in America spend more time trying to plug their ears to any viewpoints that don’t align with their own than trying to cultivate an open mind.  I used to be one of them.  Even if I disagree with 99% of someone’s views and ideas, that 1% where I do agree might be something important, that benefits me.

I believe we’re in the midst of some rapidly changing times and chaos does seem to be spreading, but we can still control our attitude and try to see the many good things all around us.

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Who’s really a RINO?

The Trump-loyal part of the GOP has been cheering the announcement that Senate Minority Leader, Mitch McConnell is stepping down. A sizable percentage of the Trump-loyal GOP are just like Trump – they weren’t involved in the Republican Party before the 2016 presidential election. I’ve been a pretty loyal Republican since 1980, when President Ronald Reagan was elected and now I consider myself a “none-of-the-above” when it comes to Washington politics.

Many of the Trump-loyalist comments I’ve seen online were trashing McConnell, saying good riddance and there’s a theme of how McConnell wasn’t a true “conservative” and now they’ll hopefully have some real conservative leading the GOP in the Senate.

One of Trump’s biggest weaknesses as president was his total lack of knowledge on the Constitution and how our federal institutions work – including the powers and duties of the President of the United States. Trump does not pay attention to details or study policies and his positions fluctuate constantly, based on what the buzz is in the media. Throughout his four years, he often announced policies or actions, then backpedaled when he was informed he didn’t have the presidential power to do that. He also believed that he could cut deals just like he did in the civilian business world and those invariably failed too or he’d pivot to some other spin battle with another liberal media personality or more often than not – target another “RINO” to attack. Of course, there was always the nebulous Deep State to attack to rally the faithful too. Despite, all that, there were many Trump administration policies that I supported and still do support – especially securing our borders.

Today I heard some Trump-loyalist comments online labelling McConnell as a “RINO,” which is completely absurd. McConnell has a decades-long track record of championing conservative causes and winning. And he was instrumental in there being a conservative majority on the US Supreme Court. The “RINO” smear that Trump-loyalists toss about constantly more accurately fits Trump, who was a NY liberal and Bill Clinton’s golfing buddy, before he decided to enter the 2016 presidential race than it does Mitch McConnell, who was fighting conservative battles back when Trump was cheering on Bill Clinton.

Trump’s doing well in the polls right now and the non-stop Democrat lawfare efforts to neutralize Trump’s 2024 presidential bid have been backfiring in dramatic fashion. Trump could very likely win the election in November. The Biden presidency, in my view, has been a total disaster, but the incendiary combination of Trump’s impulsiveness and the Democrat/liberal media deranged efforts to stop Trump could lead to more destabilization within America.

There’s no soft-landing regardless what happens in November, but when it comes to the Senate, I expect a Trump-loyalist led GOP in the US Senate to be much like the current Trump-loyalist led US House – constant in-fighting and a non-stop GOP circular firing squad – that will accomplish nothing. The Trump-loyalist faction in Washington loves to label and take out Republicans, who are effective at navigating within the US legislative institutions. Unfortunately, for the GOP, those purged knew how to cut deals and actually get legislation passed, while the Trump-loyalist crowd spends most of their time online, preening in front of media cameras, and smearing other Republicans as “RINOs.”

The big picture is America’s two main political parties are deeply fractured, corrupt and driven by radical factions. Both main parties are being hollowed out by extremists – the far-left in the Democratic Party and the Trump-loyalists in the GOP. Both parties no longer seem able to tolerate moderates or centrists, which is a symptom of how deep the partisan divides have grown in America. Within Congress, the only way to get legislation passed or stop legislation is to have seasoned legislators, who understand the intricacies of how the House and Senate function and can build consensus. That usually takes years of experience in Congress. Mitch McConnell was quite successful at that and so far the Trump-approved House Speaker, Mike Johnson, has been even more ineffective than Kevin McCarthy and the House GOP dominated by raging Trump-loyal firebrands has accomplished absolutely nothing.

Any political party led by people who are more committed to internal purges (destroying RINOs) over any sort of political platform that allows for differing viewpoints will become more and more dysfunctional and more radicalized. This bodes poorly for the longevity of the Trumpian GOP, once Trump is gone, and it bodes poorly for the GOP in the House or Senate being able to build consensus and pass legislation in the near term. On the other side, the Democratic Party keeps trying to appease the most extreme factions on the left, so there’s no moderating force to be found there. Both sides seem poised to become more radical and more extreme and that’s terrible for all of America.

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