Trump’s impeachment problems grow

Initially, the story of Trump’s call with the President of Ukraine and the entire quid pro quo impeachment argument Dems were making sounded overblown.  The whistleblower, with only second and third hand accounts of the call, bolstered my opinion that the Dem allegations were totally hyped out of proportion, especially when Trump released a transcript of the call he asserted  was a verbatim transcript of his “perfect call” and insisting he was being unfairly accused.

Over the past week my view has shifted and I suspect that Giuliani’s questionable actions operating as Trump’s personal sleuth in Ukraine will bring to light more damaging information that will aid the Democrats impeachment push.  The way Adam Schiff has conducted these “impeachment inquiry” hearings in secret, avoiding  producing the whistleblower and revelations that Schiff’s staff met with the whistleblower and likely helped in the production of the whistleblower’s complaint still work to discredit the process, but it’s also becoming increasingly clear there’s probably a good deal more damaging information that’s going to pour out in this impeachment effort.

The hearing witnesses who received the heaviest spin smear hits by Trump and his spin commandos, Bill Taylor, Trump’s chargé d’affaires for Ukraine/former ambassador to Ukraine and LTC Alexander Vindman, also seem to be the witnesses whose testimony blew massive holes in Trump’s “perfect call” assertion.  The Trumper attacks on Taylor were awful, but the attacks on Vindman, accusing him of dual loyalty crossed a line for me.  Trump and his minions are as vile as the worst Clinton spin monsters and Adam Schiff, one of the most dishonest characters in Congress.

Andrew McCarthy at National Review stated the obvious:

“President Trump and his defenders have insisted that there was no quid pro quo. Since there is virtually always a quid pro quo, we must assume that, generally, they mean there was no improper quid pro quo. I say “generally” because some actually do posit a legal claim that there was no quid pro quo at all. Ukraine, these Trump supporters say, was unaware that defense aid was being withheld; such awareness, they reason, is the sine qua non of a “quo,” without which there can be no corrupt “quid.” This argument is factually infirm and, in any event, misconstrues impeachment. I will come to that momentarily.

First, though, the critical point: The winning argument on behalf of the president is that what happened here is not an impeachable offense. It is untenable to insist that there was no quid pro quo — just as it is outlandish for the president to claim that his July 25 conversation with President Zelensky was “perfect,” an impossible standard to meet in human endeavors. To stake out an untenable position is a self-defeating strategy in public controversies.”

https://www.nationalreview.com/2019/10/stop-claiming-no-quid-pro-quo/

Jonah Goldberg, a conservative pundit on the Trump-pundit’s “most reviled Never Trumper human scum” list, stated a growing realization that’s becoming obvious too:

“Trump and his defenders are still pounding on outdated, unpersuasive, or irrelevant talking points. They rail about the identity and motives of the whistleblower who first aired these allegations, even though the whistleblower’s report has been largely corroborated by others. They claim that the process of the Democratic inquiry in the House is unconstitutional, which is ridiculous. They insist that hearings where Republicans can cross-examine witnesses are a “star chamber” or reminiscent of secret Soviet trials. Also ridiculous.

Republican complaints about the heavy-handed tactics of the Democrats have some merit, but they’ll be rendered moot when the Democrats move to public hearings or to a Senate trial. And when that happens, claims that the call was “perfect” and that there was no quid pro quo will evaporate in the face of the facts.

https://www.nationalreview.com/2019/10/trump-best-option-for-avoiding-impeachment-an-apology

Goldberg mentioned that the apology is what helped Bill Clinton survive impeachment without being removed from office and it allowed Democrats a path to credibility convince the American people that the president regretted his misdeeds and it was time for the country to move on.

At some point the original whistleblower’s motives and credibility and Schiff’s corrupt machinations become irrelevant in the face of growing witness testimony and evidence that Trump is lying about his “perfect call” transcript, which now appears to be neither “perfect” nor “verbatim,” but is a sanitized version of the call produced by some White House staffers, not by great stenographers.

The little bit of the Vindman testimony that we know about mentions some meeting with other Trump officials like Rick Perry, Ambassador Sondland, and other prominent Trump officials, which assures there’s going to be more damaging information, beyond the Trump phone call, yet Congressional Republicans and Trump pundits want to remain stuck on spinning about the corrupt “process” and “no quid pro” in the phone call “transcript”, which isn’t even really a transcript at all, but a Trump-friendly version of the phone call.  Trump lied and spun this “perfect call” nonsense and “no quid pro transcript” for a month now, but that spin antic won’t see Trump through impeachment, as more witnesses testify.

At 25:54, in Ambassador John Sullivan’s testimony yesterday, he explains the role of Rudy Giuliani’s efforts to smear and get Ambassador to Ukraine, Marie Yovanovich, fired.  While the president assuredly has the power to fire ambassadors, my gut instinct seems that Trump’s loss of confidence in the ambassador might have had more to do with her unwillingness to go along with Giuliani’s private dirt-digging expedition in Ukraine rather than her conduct carrying out the president’s official policies in Ukraine.

As more witnesses testify, my gut instinct is Trump and Giuliani’s Ukraine escapades are going to leave Republicans humiliating themselves trying to defend Trump and once again having to sacrifice every vestige of self-respect to prop up this corrupt and dishonest man, who is just as bad as the Clintons, Schiff and the Dem spin water-carrying media.

Trump isn’t an innocent victim of the Dems trying to do him in here.  Trump and Giuliani’s Ukraine escapades reek of the same sort of corrupt  Clintonesque dirt-digging operations, using private, totally unaccountable investigators.

Life for Congressional Republicans defending the corrupt “GOP Insurgent” will get much more uncomfortable, but then there’s the Durham/Horowitz investigations, which might deflect some of the media glare to the corrupt Clinton/Obama private dirt-digging operations too.

America will be much better off when the Clinton and Trump corruption is long past and becomes only an object lesson on the perils of public corruption taught to  schoolchildren in U.S. history classes.

7 Comments

Filed under General Interest, Politics, Public Corruption

Thoughts on America’s looming corruption crisis

Jonathan Turley, penned an interesting op-ed, Repulsed by the ‘lynching’ scandal? Just wait for the impeachment trial, highlighting what a trial in the Senate would be like if Trump is impeached for using his public office for personal gain.  Turley writes:

“The Senate may be the worst jury in world. As someone who has tried a case before that body, I would move to strike half of them for cause in a real courtroom. In that impeachment trial of a judge, I had jury figures like Republican Senator David Vitter, who had escaped criminal charges over his admitted use of prostitutes in Washington. Indeed, he sat there in judgment of a judge accused of improper conduct involving gambling and other acts, such as the payment of a stripper by a lawyer.

Trump would be judged on self-dealing by a jury that would include Democratic Senator Robert Menendez, charged with corruption for exchanging official acts for gifts from a wealthy doctor. All politicians are self-dealers who use their offices to advance their ambitions. It is in their blood. The fact is that “public service” often means “self-service” to those in political power. Watching a trial on self-dealing with this jury is like having Lori Loughlin and Felicity Huffman sit on a college admissions board. They certainly have experience, just not the right kind.”

The Dem impeachment effort timing seems tied to the Barr/Durham investigation expansion and the completed Horowitz FISA abuse report that’s being being slow-walked to being released.  Since last month, I’ve believed that the Clinton political machine is the driving force in this Trump-Ukraine whistleblower revelation and the ramped up “impeachment inquiry” effort.

Along with the Dem impeachment hysteria came Hillary and Chelsea Clinton hitting the media circuit touting their new book, “Gutsy Women,” which looks like nothing more than a convenient stage prop for Hillary to use as a media hook to interject herself into the media’s Trump impeachment drama and position herself for a 2020 run.

Since Hillary lost in 2016, my belief has been that there’s no way Hillary would sit back and let another Dem woman become positioned to be elected as the first female U.S. president in history, but with the ramped up Barr/Durham investigation, my sense is several prominent high officials in the Obama administration might be in serious legal jeopardy.  There is no way the Clintons or the Democratic Party bigwigs will ever allow top Obama officials to be indicted over 2016 corruption, aiding the Clintons’ scorched earth efforts to destroy Trump.

If Hillary does jump into the 2020 race, although some of the far-left factions will loudly complain, Obama, Biden, all their cronies and the entire mainstream media, which runs Dem spin 24/7, without any hesitation, will all unite quickly.  The Clinton corruption spread throughout the Democratic Party many years ago, so it’s a vast corrupt political machine, run almost like an organized crime syndicate, that will “resist” every effort at having any top Obama officials being indicted or held accountable in any way.

Yesterday, the mainstream media went into hysterics about an ill-advised Republican spin stunt of barging into Adam Schiff’s private House Intelligence Committee hearing in a House SCIF.  And granted it was a total affront to House rules.  The problem though is Adam Schiff’s secret hearings, where he and the Dems selectively leak sensational tidbits to the mainstream media to damage Trump is a thoroughly corrupt process too.

The Democrats long ago decided that they will only follow rules they like and they invent new ones based on political expediency and whenever they sense a media advantage to stage some new political spin theater.  For instance, the grotesque Kavanaugh scorched earth smear campaign was orchestrated to hijack the vote on a completed Senate Judiciary Committee confirmation hearing.  Schumer and the other Dems jumped right on-board that orchestrated smear campaign.  Top Dem senators mindlessly repeated the spin that in alleged sexual assault cases the accused is guilty until proven innocent, a complete and total corruption of one of our American basic foundational principles.  Democrats did the same thing in 1998, making excuses for Bill Clinton lying under oath. Their party’s abdication of defending the rule of law has led to widespread corruption and a total collapse of any standards. The Dem embrace of mass media spin information warfare, a corrupt form of repetitive messaging used to manipulate and deceive the American people, fuels and enables the widespread Dem corruption.

While the House GOP barging into Schiff’s hearing today seemed outrageous to me, I’m finding it hard to get worked up when only a few days ago, Dems and the mainstream media were breezily brushing off the State Dept report on security violations in the Hillary Clinton run State Department, where they found 588 valid security violations and out of those in 497 of them, no one was found culpable, so I guess ghosts mishandled that classified information…  The report findings were a total whitewash and the mainstream media leaped into action to brush it under the carpet.

I expect the Horowitz report to be the same type of whitewash effort, because the high and mighty in Washington must be protected at all costs rather than being held to the highest standards, which would really protect our governmental institutions.  Instead, the powers that be in Washington protect the powerful and connected, especially within the Democratic Party.

If Durham and Barr attempt to indict any former Obama top officials, the mainstream media smear machine will likely spin into outer space to destroy them.

Some people really are above the law in America, especially the Clinton machine and powerful Dems in Washington.

Trump and his “GOP Insurgency” was a Clinton/Dem/mainstream media driven spin nightmare to wreak havoc on the GOP primary, but Trump was duly elected and the Clinton machine will never rest until Trump is destroyed.  Without a doubt Trump is a very corrupt man, who rivals the Clintons in willingness to break any rules that get in the way of his ambitions.  He even rivals the Clintons when it comes to mendacity and that assuredly is quite a feat.

The relentless and extremely corrupt Dem spin effort to drive Trump out of office coupled with Trump’s equally corrupt effort to thwart the Dem effort to destroy him, assures our American governmental institutions will continue to implode under the weight of this endless scorched earth spin information warfare, the wholesale public corruption and rapidly fraying commitment to the rule of law in Washington, where partisans have one set of rules for their side and another set for the other side.

It’s only going to get much worse.

 

Leave a comment

Filed under Corrupt Media Collusion, General Interest, Information War, Politics, Public Corruption

Impeachment got a shot of adrenaline

Yesterday, the Dem “impeachment inquiry”, held behind closed doors, and with Adam Schiff controlling everything rolled on with Ambassador Bill Taylor, the top US diplomat to Ukraine testifying.  Schiff released Ambassador Taylor’s opening statement.  If other witness testimony corroborates Taylor’s recounting of the events that transpired, the Trump impeachment effort got a shot of adrenaline out of this testimony.  Of course, it’s best to caveat that with a huge “perhaps”, since we only got the ambassador’s opening statement, not his 10 hours of testimony.

The biggest impediment to the Dems impeachment effort is how they are trying to run it in secret, in order to try to control the media spin by selectively leaking.  At the same time Schiff won’t even allow Republicans on the House Intelligence Committee open access to transcripts:

The Dems sleazy efforts to control the media impeachment spin will undermine the legitimacy of their impeachment effort in the long run… unless Trump inflicts more devastating damage to himself through more impulsive, chaos-inducing decisions.  The fall-out from Trump’s Syria decision seems to have the potential to propel more Congressional Republicans to consider washing their hands of defending Trump than anything pertaining to Schiff’s Ukraine quid pro quo allegation.

Sleazy Schiff and the corrupt Dems deserve the equally sleazy and corrupt Trump as an adversary.  I just wish Trump had remained a loudmouth Dem who spent lots of money buying political influence among Dem politicians and hobnobbing with the likes CNN’s Jeff Zucker, MSNBC’s Mika Brzezinski and Joe Scarborough, and shock jock, Howard Stern…

Here’s a PBS link with Ambassador Taylor’s statement too: https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/read-ambassador-william-taylors-full-opening-statement

 

Leave a comment

Filed under General Interest, Politics

But, her emails…

On Friday, the letter sent to Senator Chuck Grassley from the State Department Bureau of Legislative Affairs, outlining the finding on the State Department investigation into “Hillary’s emails,” was released.  As expected partisans, especially those in the media leaped on two diametrically opposed conclusions and that’s because the writer of the State Department letter tucked in some weasel words (probably deliberately imo) for Democrats to latch onto.  The letter is short and most of it focuses on the methodology used in their process of investigating the emails.

Here are the findings in a nutshell paragraph in the report:

V. ADJUDICATIVE RESULTS (TOP LINE ROLLUP)
APD’ s administrative review of the HRC emails resulted in the adjudication of 91 valid violations attributable to 38 individuals. Additionally, APD adjudicated 497 valid violations where no individual was found to bear culpability, resulting in a ”valid, but not culpable”determination.

Total Valid Violations Adjudicated: 91
Total VnC: 497

(Paragraph from Page 8)

Most of the liberal media reports I saw, seemed to fixate only on the last sentence, on Page 10 of this report, and offered the Clinton “time to move on” spin, opining that this report should be the end of investigating Hillary’s emails (I could imagine liberals in the media whining about this “witch hunt” and “poor Hillary” amongst themselves).  Here’s the last sentence:

“There was no persuasive evidence of systemic, deliberate mishandling of classified information.”

Yep, the media leaped on that no persuasive evidence of systemic, deliberate mishandling of classified information and the State Department official who sent this letter intended that sentence to be “The End” on Hillary’s emails.

None of this answers to the almost 600 valid violations found and these investigators failed to even hold anyone responsible for 497 of them.  Yet most of the liberal media thinks Americans should be satisfied with this investigation???  The report itself defines a valid violation as:

“An incident is categorized as a violation when it is “a knowing, willful, or negligent action that could reasonably be expected to result in the unauthorized disclosure of classified information.”

(Page 4)

The Clinton/Dem machine has so many loyal media spinmeisters, who carry their spin messaging without question, that the hopes that truth could ever filter through their spin wall was always highly unlikely.

The FBI investigation into “Hillary’s emails” began with her use of a private email server coming to light and revelations of classified information being stored on that server.  Hillary explained her decision to use that private server as a desire to only have to carry one device, which made no sense, since according to the FBI investigation, she went through 13 blackberries and several laptops. In the FBI Notes Bill Clinton’s IT guy, Justin Cooper, described Hillary using a flip-phone to talk on while using her blackberry at the same time, so she could even multi-task with multiple electronic devices….

The cries from the many on the right insisted that Hillary deliberately set up that private server to avoid federal recordkeeping laws and “hide her emails from FOIA requests.”

I don’t believe either of these explanations gets to the truth of why Hillary decided to use a private server, so before “But, her emails” completely vanishes from public record, here are some facts about that server:

  1.  Hillary never set up a private, homebrew server.
  2.  According to FBI Notes of the interviews with Bill Clinton’s IT guy, Justin Cooper and Hillary’s IT guy, Bryan Pagliano, the original private server in the Clinton’s home was set-up by Cooper, around 2007, to serve as Bill Clinton’s private foundation server.  Got that everyone?  It was Bill Clinton’s private server.
  3.   In late 2008-early 2009 the Clintons decided to use that private server for Hillary’s State Department emails rather than the official government systems.  To that end, Hillary’s campaign IT guy, Pagliano, worked with Bill Clinton’s IT guy, Cooper, to upgrade the server.  Huma Abedin coordinated that server upgrade.  Pagliano told the FBI he believed they were upgrading that server for Bill Clinton’s use.  Hillary was sworn is as Secretary of State on January 21, 2009.  So, the merging of the Clintons’ private foundation server and the US State Department was implemented before Hillary was even sworn in as Secretary of State.
  4. .  According to the FBI Notes, Pagliano and Cooper have differing accounts of who the two email accounts on the original server belonged to.  Pagliano said it was Huma Abedin and BLANK and Cooper said it was Hillary and BLANK.

In 2016 when the FBI Notes were released I wrote a blog post, The Servers, and my thoughts about these email accounts were:

“Pagliano stated that he transferred email from the old system to the new system and there shouldn’t be ANY email content left on the old server.  Pagliano stated to the FBI that he ONLY transferred clintonemail.com email accounts for Huma Abedin and BLANK and that he was unaware of and did not transfer any email account for Hillary.  So, who is BLANK.   Since Pagliano ONLY transferred clintonemail.com email accounts for Huma Abedin and BLANK and this was Bill Clinton’s PERSONAL email server for foundation business, who could BLANK be…..  Now, Clinton’s IT guy, Justin Cooper, recalls the one email account as being Hillary’s email account, not Huma’s, which again brings us back to whose email account was the only other email account on Bill Clinton’s personal server…”

At this point, I’m still curious who BLANK was and why the FBI redacted that name.  It would seem to me that if Bill Clinton went to the trouble to set up a private server in his home around 2007, either he or one of his closest aides set up an email account for Bill Clinton’s business.  Hillary’s device and email account information the FBI released, indicated she was still using her email on her blackberry the first few months she was Secretary of State.

The Clintons used that homebrew server to merge the Office of the Secretary of State’s business onto their private Clinton Foundation server in their home.  Tens of thousands of emails were destroyed, so some of them had to be Bill Clinton’s foundation business.

And that might be why Bill Clinton went so far as to personally arrange that meeting with Loretta Lynch on the tarmac in AZ,  weeks before Hillary’s FBI interview.  I believe he was likely strong-arming Lynch about how he wanted that FBI interview handled and that he wanted that email investigation closed ASAP.

Huma Abedin, Cheryl Mills and Jake Sullivan, all close Hillary staffers, told the FBI they didn’t know anything about the private server until after Hillary’s tenure as Secretary of State, even though both Cooper and Pagliano told the FBI that Huma Abedin coordinated the server upgrade before Hillary was sworn in as Secretary of State.  And Huma had an email account on the second server for sure and likely even the original server.

The classified email issue never caused the Clintons any concern, because Hillary had the power to declassify information.  The Clintons spun so successfully that few people even realize that original server was Bill Clinton’s personal foundation server, which he had set-up around 2007.  The Clinton spin machine always insists that Bill Clinton doesn’t use email, but perhaps by 2007, he wanted to get with the times and decided a “private email server” tucked in his house, guarded by Secret Service agents, would be a secure way for him to begin using email.

Hillary had been online even when Bill Clinton was still president according to various media reports back then.

But, her emails, indeed…

 

Update: October 20, 2019 8:27 pm – I decided to post part of James Comey’s July 5, 2016 statement:

“From the group of 30,000 e-mails returned to the State Department, 110 e-mails in 52 e-mail chains have been determined by the owning agency to contain classified information at the time they were sent or received. Eight of those chains contained information that was Top Secret at the time they were sent; 36 chains contained Secret information at the time; and eight contained Confidential information, which is the lowest level of classification. Separate from those, about 2,000 additional e-mails were “up-classified” to make them Confidential; the information in those had not been classified at the time the e-mails were sent.

The FBI also discovered several thousand work-related e-mails that were not in the group of 30,000 that were returned by Secretary Clinton to State in 2014. We found those additional e-mails in a variety of ways. Some had been deleted over the years and we found traces of them on devices that supported or were connected to the private e-mail domain. Others we found by reviewing the archived government e-mail accounts of people who had been government employees at the same time as Secretary Clinton, including high-ranking officials at other agencies, people with whom a Secretary of State might naturally correspond.

This helped us recover work-related e-mails that were not among the 30,000 produced to State. Still others we recovered from the laborious review of the millions of e-mail fragments dumped into the slack space of the server decommissioned in 2013.

With respect to the thousands of e-mails we found that were not among those produced to State, agencies have concluded that three of those were classified at the time they were sent or received, one at the Secret level and two at the Confidential level. There were no additional Top Secret e-mails found. Finally, none of those we found have since been “up-classified.”

https://www.fbi.gov/news/pressrel/press-releases/statement-by-fbi-director-james-b-comey-on-the-investigation-of-secretary-hillary-clinton2019s-use-of-a-personal-e-mail-system

8 Comments

Filed under Corrupt Media Collusion, General Interest, Hillary's Email Scandal, Politics

Gut Instincts

In my last post  I mentioned my reliance on my gut instinct in formulating what is, admittedly, a conspiracy theory.  Interestingly enough, Trump has stated many times he trusts his gut when making decisions too.  Somehow though I suspect there’s a yuge difference between his process and mine, so I’ll explain a bit about how I make my gut decisions identifying the Clinton/Dem/mainstream media spin operations in the media and how I analyze any news pertaining to the actions or public comments and appearances of Bill and Hillary Clinton.

Studying propaganda and military information warfare operations has been an interest of mine starting in 1980, when I became interested in studying the Cold War, while in the Army.  Another hobby, of sorts, has been watching people, because people fascinate me.  I also developed a habit of reading a lot of government reports, starting with a hand-me-down copy of The Warren Commission report my oldest sister had sitting around the house.  I read many reports  after big political controversies and calamities, but I also find military after-action reports fascinating.  Add these interests to my news junkie habit that developed when I was probably around 11 or 12, and these habits help guide my “gut instinct”, which fails badly sometimes, but sometimes it’s way ahead of the media reporting.

I also look for patterns of behavior (how people operate/what their personal signature of actions looks like and work on trying to put together a timeline of events or political activities connected to the situation.

Trump, from what I can glean, bases his gut instinct based on his complete faith in his superior dealmaking skills.

Back in the early 90s, I became very interested in the Clinton “war room” and their spin operations. It was something very different than normal political messaging in American presidential politics.  Bill Clinton’s ability to mask his true meaning behind deceptive language fascinated me, to the point, I would often listen closely to what he said in a speech and then look at quotes from the speech that were reported in the news and marvel at how clever he was at saying one thing and meaning exactly the opposite.  Bill and Hillary Clinton both are extremely mendacious people and so is Donald J. Trump but the differences between the Clinton spin operations and comparing that to Trump’s spin sideshow is like comparing fencing to a WWE wrestling match.

Often in combat, guerilla disruption operations prove very successful.  In this endless scorched earth spin information war, Trump disrupts and often hijacks the carefully constructed Dem talking points messaging, that relies on a large network of political operatives, sympathetic news media conduits and Hollywood celebs.  Trump is a one-man show spin guerilla fighter, who routinely, with just a single tweet or public statement, completely disrupts a carefully constructed Dem spin attack.  It’s a large ponderous network vs. an unpredictable, lone spin guerilla, who attacks at random and without any warning.

Along with following the news, I’ve read many of the books that came out on the Clintons (friendly and unfriendly viewpoints), I read books by Democrat political operatives too, like Carville, Dick Morris, John Podesta, etc.  I recently saw David Axelrod’s book, Believer, which I found in my local Dollar Tree store for a $1, so I bought it. I intend to read Ken Starr’s book, Contempt, too, but I have a long list of books I want to get through before I buy that.  I even have a couple books on Trump too.  Another habit of mine is to read bios online of people and political events, to try to understand where they came from.  This brings me back to trusting “gut instinct” –  some people’s quick decisions might be more reliable than others, based on how they go about analyzing situations.

The caveat to trusting “gut instinct” is no human system based on making fast judgments is ever going to be 100% accurate  and it’s best to keep paying attention to new information that develops and be open to admitting some of your “gut instinct” assessments were incorrect and try to improve.

In 2005, Malcolm Gladwell wrote a book, Blink: the Power of Thinking Without Thinking, where he describes this process:

“Thin-slicing” refers to the ability of our unconscious to find patterns in situations and behavior based on very narrow slices of experience.

Gladwell, Malcolm. Blink (p. 37). Little, Brown and Company. Kindle Edition.

Two situations described in this book interested me.  Retired Marine Corps general, Paul Van Riper is without a doubt one of the most brilliant military strategists in America. Gladwell explains Van Riper was selected to lead the Red Team, playing a rogue military leader in the Persian Gulf, heading a terrorist group in Millenium Challenge ‘o2, a very expensive U.S. military wargaming exercise.  In the exercise Blue Team was meant to test the U.S. military’s new operational system, relying on high-tech systems that provided all the super-duper complex computer assessments and analysis, which would provide vast amounts of information quickly.  The Red Team rogue leader, Van Riper played, didn’t have all those high-tech systems:

“Millennium Challenge, in other words, was not just a battle between two armies. It was a battle between two perfectly opposed military philosophies. Blue Team had their databases and matrixes and methodologies for systematically understanding the intentions and capabilities of the enemy. Red Team was commanded by a man who looked at a long-haired, unkempt, seat-of-the pants commodities trader yelling and pushing and making a thousand instant decisions an hour and saw in him a soul mate.

On the opening day of the war game, Blue Team poured tens of thousands of troops into the Persian Gulf. They parked an aircraft carrier battle group just offshore of Red Team’s home country. There, with the full weight of its military power in evidence, Blue Team issued an eight-point ultimatum to Van Riper, the eighth point being the demand to surrender. They acted with utter confidence, because their Operational Net Assessment matrixes told them where Red Team’s vulnerabilities were, what Red Team’s next move was likely to be, and what Red Team’s range of options was. But Paul Van Riper did not behave as the computers predicted.

Blue Team knocked out his microwave towers and cut his fiber-optics lines on the assumption that Red Team would now have to use satellite communications and cell phones and they could monitor his communications.

“They said that Red Team would be surprised by that,” Van Riper remembers. “Surprised? Any moderately informed person would know enough not to count on those technologies. That’s a Blue Team mind-set. Who would use cell phones and satellites after what happened to Osama bin Laden in Afghanistan? We communicated with couriers on motorcycles, and messages hidden inside prayers. They said, ‘How did you get your airplanes off the airfield without the normal chatter between pilots and the tower?’ I said, ‘Does anyone remember World War Two? We’ll use lighting systems.’”

Suddenly the enemy that Blue Team thought could be read like an open book was a bit more mysterious. What was Red Team doing? Van Riper was supposed to be cowed and overwhelmed in the face of a larger foe. But he was too much of a gunslinger for that. On the second day of the war, he put a fleet of small boats in the Persian Gulf to track the ships of the invading Blue Team navy. Then, without warning, he bombarded them in an hour-long assault with a fusillade of cruise missiles. When Red Team’s surprise attack was over, sixteen American ships lay at the bottom of the Persian Gulf. Had Millennium Challenge been a real war instead of just an exercise, twenty thousand American servicemen and women would have been killed before their own army had even fired a shot. “

As the Red force commander, I’m sitting there and I realize that Blue Team had said that they were going to adopt a strategy of preemption,” Van Riper says. “So I struck first. We’d done all the calculations on how many cruise missiles their ships could handle, so we simply launched more than that, from many different directions, from offshore and onshore, from air, from sea. We probably got half of their ships. We picked the ones we wanted. The aircraft carrier. The biggest cruisers. There were six amphibious ships. We knocked out five of them.””

Gladwell, Malcolm. Blink (pp. 185-189). Little, Brown and Company. Kindle Edition.

While it’s a gross insult to General Van Riper’s strategic brilliance to compare him to Donald J. Trump in any way, I think  a very  general “complicated system vs. a very simple, unpredictable system” analogy  holds up.  General Van Riper was playing a rogue military leader of terrorists with few military assets pitted against the most high-tech military in the world.  Scorched earth spin information warfare, on the other hand is sleazy mass media propaganda games and smear campaigns, so it was the Clinton/Dem/mainstream media manipulative word games/smear campaigns vs. Trump, the crass, loudmouth reality TV star blazing insults across the airwaves and mean tweets on his personal Twitter account.  I just don’t think it takes ‘brilliant” strategists to ruthlessly manipulate people, spread outrageous lies and wage vicious smear campaigns.  It takes total amorality of thousands of slithering snakes in the grass vs. a giant hissing orange-skinned snake.

Gladwell gives numerous examples of how sometimes thin-slices of information can give you enough information to make those, almost “thinking without thinking” determinations based on a pattern, you detect very quickly.  I read a book a long while ago, dealing with some of this “in a glance” concept, which Von Clausewitz, a brilliant military strategist, referred to this ability as Napoleon’s Glance, and used the term coup d’oeil.  William Duggan in his book, Napoleon’s Glance writes:

“Coup d’oeil was the secret of Napoleon’s success.  He made no innovations himself: Instead, he studied in detail the winning campaigns of the great generals who came before him, all the way back to Alexander the Great more than two thousand years before.  Napoleon imitated their tactics but always in a new combination that fit the present situation.  He put his army in motion with no particular destination, until he saw in a glance a coup d’oeil a chance to win a battle.  The place and time were completely unpredictable, and he passed up more battles than he fought.”

Napoleon’s Glance, written by William Duggan, page 4

Gladwell also touched on coup d’oeil in his book, Blink, and described a WWII situation pertaining to British women recruited to listen to German radio broadcasts:

“In the Second World War, the British assembled thousands of so-called interceptors— mostly women— whose job it was to tune in every day and night to the radio broadcasts of the various divisions of the German military. The Germans were, of course, broadcasting in code, so— at least in the early part of the war— the British couldn’t understand what was being said. But that didn’t necessarily matter, because before long, just by listening to the cadence of the transmission, the interceptors began to pick up on the individual fists of the German operators, and by doing so, they knew something nearly as important, which was who was doing the sending. “If you listened to the same call signs over a certain period, you would begin to recognize that there were, say, three or four different operators in that unit, working on a shift system, each with his own characteristics,” says Nigel West, a British military historian. “And invariably, quite apart from the text, there would be the preambles, and the illicit exchanges. How are you today? How’s the girlfriend? What’s the weather like in Munich? So you fill out a little card, on which you write down all that kind of information, and pretty soon you have a kind of relationship with that person.”

The interceptors came up with descriptions of the fists and styles of the operators they were following. They assigned them names and assembled elaborate profiles of their personalities. After they identified the person who was sending the message, the interceptors would then locate their signal. So now they knew something more. They knew who was where. West goes on: “The interceptors had such a good handle on the transmitting characteristics of the German radio operators that they could literally follow them around Europe— wherever they were. That was extraordinarily valuable in constructing an order of battle, which is a diagram of what the individual military units in the field are doing and what their location is. If a particular radio operator was with a particular unit and transmitting from Florence, and then three weeks later you recognized that same operator, only this time he was in Linz, then you could assume that that particular unit had moved from northern Italy to the eastern front. Or you would know that a particular operator was with a tank repair unit and he always came up on the air every day at twelve o’clock. But now, after a big battle, he’s coming up at twelve, four in the afternoon, and seven in the evening, so you can assume that unit has a lot of work going on. And in a moment of crisis, when someone very high up asks, ‘Can you really be absolutely certain that this particular Luftwaffe Fliegerkorps [German air force squadron] is outside of Tobruk and not in Italy?’ you can answer, ‘Yes, that was Oscar, we are absolutely sure.’””

Gladwell, Malcolm. Blink (pp. 45-47). Little, Brown and Company. Kindle Edition.

I don’t know if my “gut instinct” when it comes to identifying the Clinton/Dem spin attacks and smear campaigns launching in the media and their endless corrupt political power plays has more to do with Gladwell’s  “thinking without thinking” concept,  coup d’oeil or is more akin to Gavin DeBecker’s, The Gift of Fear, after surviving  the Clinton’s ruthlessness during impeachment in 1998…

4 Comments

Filed under General Interest, Information War, Military, Uncategorized

A conspiracy theory

Here’s a conspiracy theory/recurrent pondering of mine about the 2016 election for which I have no proof, just a gut instinct that something was very amiss with Trump’s “GOP Insurgency”.

When Trump entered the race and began his run, he began using “spin messaging” that struck me as Clinton machine spin messaging.  I’ve been studying the Clinton spin, which evolved to dominate the entire Democratic Party, since the 1990s, trying  to understand how it works.  Clinton spin operations work only with massive mass media amplification and mass media smear campaigns.  With the Clinton spin operations, the efficient use of spreading their talking points spin messaging among political operatives and friendly media took hold.  Many people within the American news media and Hollywood work to spread that spin messaging.

With the advent of social media, Twitter serves as the online hang-out for the American news media and political punditry class, Twitter is where American news is generated and amplified, with rapid fire retweets.  It’s almost like trained dogs now, as many journalists repeat Dem spin messaging verbatim and treat it  as verified reporting, just like Republicans repeat pro-Trump spin   The mainstream media relies on only anti-Trump sources as their “trusted sources” Each side runs their spin/news reporting within an impenetrable echo chamber.

Until Donald Trump, the Republicans lost in the spin messaging battle in the mainstream media for decades.  Republicans and conservatives complained often and loudly about “media bias,” but it wasn’t “bias”, it was a corrupt news system, where the mainstream media worked to amplify the Dems spin messaging,  Without the media being a willing and active participant in the Dems spin messaging operations, spin messaging would not work.

So, along came Donald Trump and he was spinning just like the Dems and staging rally roadshows, but he had no normal campaign structure.  What he had was not only massive FOX News spin messaging amplification, he had  massive mainstream media amplification?  Why was the mainstream media working to amplify Trump’s “GOP Insurgency” spin messaging?

Well, as 2016 rolled along, through Wikileaks’ leaked Podesta emails, we learned that the Clinton campaign had a Pied Piper strategy to promote the most divisive GOP candidates during the GOP primary  So, who were the most divisive GOP candidates?  Ted Cruz, with his very conservative views and the “GOP Insurgent”, Donald J. Trump.  Funny thing though, the mainstream media did not give Ted Cruz a lot of free media, but Trump received billions of dollars worth of free media, with CNN and MSNBC lavishing Trump with positive media coverage, covering his rallies live and Chuck Todd, the Hillary Clinton hack, even allowed Trump to just phone in interviews. Why?

Trump’s “GOP Insurgency” was a massive Dem spin hoax perpetrated against the GOP to sabotage their primary, in my opinion.

The Clinton machine constructs elaborate, spin operations (it’s comprehensive information warfare strategies they develop).  For instance, this Trump Impeachment spin drama (Trump-Ukraine) was in the works for months, along with the book, Gutsy Women,  Hillary and Chelsea are doing the media rounds hawking.  That book was ghost written by someone and meant to be a stage prop for Hillary to enter the 2020 race as  the “rightful President,  who had the election stolen from her”, but never fear she is going to fight to protect our democracy… if Democrats will only rally around her and do their patriotic duty to destroy Trump… “who is destroying our democracy.”  She’s going to con (strong-arm, if necessary) Democrats to unite behind her to deal with this existential crisis ( a crisis their spin show manufactures).  Okay, let’s be honest the one who goes around strong-arming Democrats is Bill Clinton (see 2016 Loretta Lynch tarmac meeting or photos of Clinton-Obama golfing at Martha’s vineyard in 2015).

I strongly suspect Trump never intended to be president, but wanted to use the publicity to boost his reality TV business.  I believe there was some kind of deal between Trump and Bill Clinton, where Trump would get all this mainstream media attention, running this “GOP Insurgency” con job.  Yes, I believe the Clintons and Trump both conned us in 2016.

I also suspect that in late 2015/early 2016, when the Clinton machine began unloading their mountains of Trump dirt, they’d been sitting on while running the Trump GOP Insurgency on mainstream media, Trump realized he had been double-crossed by Bill Clinton.  Trump doesn’t make deals with little people, he wants to deal only with the head honcho, which leads me to Bill Clinton, Trump’s old golfing buddy.

Unfortunately for the Clintons, Trump’s populist spin messaging worked better than anyone dreamed, plus many demoralized Republicans, used to always losing in the media messaging battle, joined the Trump train in hopes that finally some Republican would beat the Democrats at their own spin game.  Trump’s impossible to ignore reality TV show theatrics helped him enormously too.

If you wonder why the mainstream media has spent the entirety of Trump’s presidency whining about which Trump spokespeople should be allowed on CNN and MSNBC and trying to ban Trump from Twitter, it’s because Trump barged into their corrupt spin messaging turf and they aren’t used to a level playing field.  Biden was urging the mainstream media to ban Rudy Giuliani just this past weekend, because Biden claims Rudy will just lie.   Democrats make this claim as they are relentlessly running  corrupt spin messaging to shutdown Trump and anyone connected with him.  It’s a corrupt cesspool, where Dems wage orchestrated smear campaigns to ruthlessly achieve their political objectives and the mainstream media runs with it.  The corruption is so obvious, for instance, the mainstream media calls the Mueller probe an “investigation”  with Barr’s investigation it’s “dirt-digging” or a “scheme.  This is how the spin word games go.

When Trump won the election, he did not look happy and he had no real plans in place for actually being president.  I suspect his rage at the double-cross and being subjected to non-stop Dem smear operations, made him determined to adjust and instead of going back to his Reality TV show, he turned the US presidency into the biggest reality TV show in the world.

I strongly believe both campaigns in 2016 were thoroughly corrupt.  Both were engaged in seeking Russian dirt and both ran repulsive spin operations.  Trump also embraced the Dems  smear campaign tactics.

With that said, at some point both campaigns wholesale public corruption will become so flagrant and undeniable, especially if, as I would bet money on it, it’s a 2020 rematch of Hillary and Trump, that I wonder how our country will be able to hold together, as they run nuclear level scorched earth spin war 24/7.

America is in for a total spin nightmare, but if the corruption of both Trump and the Clintons ever gets exposed, the Clintons and Trump will join forces to survive – that is my prediction.  It will be the Clintons and Trump destroying any law enforcement effort that attempts to stop them.  They are above the law as long as they control the corrupt media spin operations in America.

I’ll remain forever, proudly, NeverTrump & NeverHillary.

Defending The Constitution always, that’s where my loyalty lies… not with any politicians or political party.

No one should be above the law.

Update to my conspiracy theory ponderings, October 2, 2019:  Suppose Trump doesn’t even really know that his old golfing buddy was behind the entire “GOP Insurency” Dem spin hoax and instead relied on some media peeps to con Trump into believing they were supporting him and they gave Trump this billions of dollars worth of free media.  That might better explain Trump’s ranting about Jeff Zucker and Joe and Mika, lol,  that’s for sure.

This is all just a conspiracy theory of mine and I don’t have a single shred of proof, just clues:

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/donald-trump-2-billion-free-media_us_56e83410e4b065e2e3d75935

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/03/16/upshot/measuring-donald-trumps-mammoth-advantage-in-free-media.html

https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/right-turn/wp/2016/03/15/the-medias-2b-gift-to-trump/

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/01/donald-trump-free-tv-ad-217387

Here’s an example of the liberal media con game, I’m referring to:  “Les Moonves Exposes the Trump Media Game”  a 2016 piece by Stephen L. Miller at National Review:

“Fox News granted two nights of town-hall coverage to GOP’s primary candidates to fight over. The night before, MSNBC’s Morning Joe hosts Joe Scarborough and Mika Brzezinski had allotted a full primetime hour to Trump.

On the eve of Super Tuesday, Trump sat down in person for an interview with Sean Hannity. On the same night, Trump’s wife, Melania, was sitting down for an interview with Anderson Cooper; this was fresh off the heels of her interview with Mika Brzezinski on Morning Joe.

The  Sunday-morning news shows allow Trump to call in for interviews, something practically unheard of for presidential candidates. Yet Chuck Todd, George Stephanopoulos, and Chris Wallace all allow Trump to do so. And last year, CNN even shelved its long-planned tenth-anniversary Hurricane Katrina special hosted by Anderson Cooper. In its place, they aired a post-Trump-rally special with Don Lemon.

TMZ, both online and on their television show, routinely run segments on Trump, as does ET! Greta Van Susteren has frequently invited Trump’s sons on as guests, either in the studio, via satellite, or on the phone. CNN and MSNBC carry Trump’s campaign rallies in full — and Fox, too. Media outlets breathlessly hang on his every word and insult and bombastic threat or incitement, and then they become instantly appalled when one of their own is choke-slammed to the ground by Trump security guards. Such reactions from them are telling.”
https://www.nationalreview.com/2016/03/donald-trump-media-they-use-him-make-money-help-hillary/

Update, October 6, 2019:  As I was thinking a bit more about this, I remembered this other tidbit of information that had been reported – the Trump-Bill Clinton phone call right before Trump entered the race.  Here’s an August 5, 2015 report:

“According to several Trump sources (and one Clinton source) who spoke to the Post, the two men spoke over the phone in late May, shortly before Trump announced his run in June. During the call, the Trump sources said, Clinton “encouraged Trump’s efforts to play a larger role in the Republican Party” and “analyzed Trump’s prospects and his desire to rouse the G.O.P. base.”

That conversation, said the anonymous Trump sources, certainly didn’t discourage the billionaire to run: while Clinton never outright told Trump to enter the race, he reportedly told Trump that he was “striking a chord with frustrated conservatives and was a rising force on the right,” and his tone was supposedly “encouraging.”

(This is something a political genius would tell someone with a desire to run for president, especially if that person was a known self-promoter, capable of sucking the air out of a room full of his opponents—and especially if the genius’s wife happened to be running in the party against that known self-promoter.)”

https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2015/08/bill-clinton-called-donald-trump-before-presidential-run-2016

The Vanity Fair article quoted a Washington Post story: https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/bill-clinton-called-donald-trump-ahead-of-republicans-2016-launch/2015/08/05/e2b30bb8-3ae3-11e5-b3ac-8a79bc44e5e2_story.html

Update October 8, 2019:  Another tidbit to add to the my “GOP Insurgent” conspiracy theory came from Howard Stern, friend of Trump’s, who had Trump on his radio show many times.  From a 2017 report:

“Howard Stern has argued nobody was more keen for Hillary Clinton to win than Donald Trump himself.

The radio personality, who is America’s most notorious shock jock, said President Trump was being serious when he recently admitted to missing his “old life”.

In an interview with Reuters ahead of the 100-day mark of his presidency last week, Mr Trump said: “I loved my previous life. I had so many things going. This is more work than in my previous life. I thought it would be easier.””

Further in this article:

“Stern recounts being at Mr Trump’s 126-room Mar-a-Lago resort “when he first announced he was going to win” however it is unclear if he is referring to winning the Republican nomination or the November election.”

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/howard-stern-donald-trump-hillary-clinton-win-us-election-2016-president-democrat-republican-radio-a7714971.html

And this 2019 article:

“Stern also backed up his statement that Trump did not actually want to be president by noting he was hanging around Mar-a-Lago with Trump and his team when the run was being plotted.

“I know people who orchestrated some of these things,” Stern said. “I was at Mar-a-Lago around when it was announced that Donald was going to run for president, and like everyone else, I thought, Ha-ha-ha. So, knowing Donald, I can tell you with some assurance that I don’t believe that he thought anyone would buy in. Lo and behold, people did. But I’m pretty sure that there was no intention of actually being president.””

https://www.rollingstone.com/culture/culture-news/howard-stern-donald-trump-president-interview-833343/

Here’s the Trump supporter take, which dismisses Stern’s comments:

“An enduring myth about President Trump’s phenomenal 2016 campaign is that the whole thing was a lark, a stunt intended to do nothing but build Trump’s “brand” and make him more famous.

The only reason this tale persists is because it feeds into the media narrative that Trump’s victory was a freak accident and his supporters are a bunch of idiot patsies.”

https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/heres-how-you-know-howard-sterns-theory-that-trump-never-wanted-to-win-is-false

I don’t believe Trump supporters were patsies, I believe that mass media spin to the tune of billions of dollars in free media can sell just about anything to large number of Americans, then couple that with the anger within conservative circles that the GOP consistently lost to the Dem spin game.  Along came a guy who fought back in the media and was actually winning the spin game.  Added to this, among conservatives who jumped on board the Trump train a viewpoint was aggressively put forth that the Left’s culture war was destroying America and 2016 was our last best hope of saving America – the Flight 93 doctrine, a morally-bankrupt binary choice argument for Trump,  was born:

https://www.claremont.org/crb/basicpage/the-flight-93-election/

 

6 Comments

Filed under Corrupt Media Collusion, Information War, Politics

Impeachment ain’t 2016

This impeachment sideshow has fueled a massive information void, that will only grow.  What I mean by information void, is there’s such an overload of spin coming from domestic partisans and the American media (and probably hostile foreign info war efforts too), that the erosion of credibility will only continue to erode trust in all media sources of information and government officials.  Americans already have no common reliable sources of information to trust , but this scorched earth spin will turn the American information “systems’ into a flaming mass of confusion and competing “spin” (lies) dumpster fires.

The widespread public corruption, relentless smear campaigns and the widening double standards assure that we will have no institutions left to trust, especially when it comes to information.  The escalating pace of this insane spin war, also makes it hard to even keep track of unfolding news and decipher what is accurate and what has been “updated” or “corrected”.

America will become totally ungovernable without a dramatic course correction.

Our domestic scorched earth spin war will have no American winners, only a collapse of our American institutions, widespread corruption and chaos. There is no “at least my side isn’t as bad as” the other side, because both sides engaging in scorched earth spin war are totally corrupt. Spin war is sophisticated mass media information warfare and by its very nature is very corrupt.

It’s not all Dems fault or all Trump’s fault; it’s mostly the American people’s fault for being as lazy and self-indulgent as our corrupt leaders.  We the American people have bought into making excuses for public corruption committed by partisans we support and allowing double standards to corrode our political system and our own characters.

I believe this impeachment sideshow is a corrupt, orchestrated  Dem (Clinton machine) production, but the truth is Trump lies constantly and his own erratic tweeting and outbursts are likely to make it harder for Republicans in Congress to keep supporting him.   The thing Trump doesn’t understand is his tweets are public statements by the President of the United States, not just his recreational hobby.  Trump surrounds himself with a lot of moronic advisers and many of them will egg on Trump’s worst impulses, believing it will help Trump “win”.

The problem is impeachment isn’t the 2016 election, where he managed to win several Rust Belt states by gaining support from blue-collar voters; it’s Congress who will be voting.  If Trump goes full batshit crazy (which judging from his weekend tweeting looks like he’s well on the way) and listens to his idiotic SPIN commando flamethrowers, he might just turn off enough Republicans in Congress and find himself losing support or some may decide propping him up is causing more damage to the Republican brand and their own political futures than he’s worth.

Hard to tell for sure how crazy this is going to be, especially if the DOJ, Horowitz and Durham release reports of more corruption with the Dems’ scorched earth “Trump-Russia” farce in 2016.

I decided not to tweet about impeachment anymore, but I might write some blog posts – we’ll see.  Frankly, I think the Clintons and Trump deserve each other – same pathological lying, same corruption, and same smug disdain for playing by the rules.  Republicans would have been much better off if Trump had remained Bill Clinton’s golfing buddy, buying political influence among corrupt Dem politicians and running his stupid reality TV show.

A couple days ago, Kevin Williamson at National Review penned a piece, Prince Don, which perfectly described Trump:

“Trump’s character is in fact a practical liability, one that has seriously impeded his ability to pursue his agenda. His egoism, laziness, arrogance, and above all his habitual dishonesty are crippling. That is why he has been most effective on ordinary Republican priorities such as taxes and judges, those areas in which he can deputize such old swamp-dwelling dinosaurs as Mitch McConnell and the ladies and gentlemen of the Federalist Society to actually get things done. Left to his own devices, he’s an ordinary Twitter troll and conspiracy nut with very little in the way of direction or a coherent policy agenda.”

https://www.nationalreview.com/2019/09/donald-trump-personal-flaws-led-him-here/

Williamson is glad Hillary didn’t win, doesn’t see an impeachable offense with what we know now, doesn’t want to see a President Elizabeth Warren and says, “Donald Trump cannot be gone soon enough.”

Watching how Trump’s SPIN commandos initially reacted last week following their Trumpian instincts, by run wildly ranting on Twitter and TV, with no strategy at all  and  Rudy wigged out completely on TV too, well, if the Trump Spin commandos revert back to their mindless, reflexive, ill-planned spin attacks and total strategic ineptitude, Trump is in for a rough time.  Trump’s brand of erratic tweet attacks and lack of a comprehensive strategy won’t beat a comprehensive Dem spin war/smear campaign coupled with a massive Dem legal eagles takedown.

Trump’s the most toxic leader I have ever seen – he plays his own team members against each other and he attacks his own team.  His team will have little coherent direction and non-stop in-fighting, which the Dems/media will work to feed.  Vicious divide and conquer spin strategies are their forte.

It’s going to be a huge mess. Impeachment ain’t 2016.

Leave a comment

Filed under Information War, Politics, Public Corruption