Category Archives: Foreign Policy

A must read on America’s nuclear arsenal by Matthew Kroenig

Foreign Policy magazine offers this lengthy article written by associate professor and international relations field chair of Georgetown University’s Department of Government, Matthew Kroenig, on nuclear disarmament and the many myths about nuclear strategic concerns, that certainly offers an analysis that runs counter to the usual nuclear issues commentary.  (Foreign Policy article here and Kroenig’s website here)

And now to harken back to a libertybelle blog post on this issue, “Global Zero:  Another Nothing-Burger Plan”, from June 18, 2013.  At last, I’m not a lone voice in the wilderness, happy day:-)

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Eggs Benedict

Where do we go from here with our incoherent foreign policies?   Under this President no single foreign policy position articulating American interests clearly and unambiguously  exists, but many hazy, wisps float about, with little focus or strategic sense and as soon as you try to shine the harsh light of reality on them, into thin air they vanish.  To change course requires a degree of introspection that probably lies beyond the egocentric political mouthpieces in either of our political parties and it certainly, based on the past 4+ years, presents a challenge well beyond the most overrated politician in American history, whose foreign affairs and strategic thinking abilities fall well below a level required for commanding U.S. Armed Forces and deciding the weighty issues facing our republic in decline.

Here we are, more than a decade into military engagements, in an ever more hostile Muslim world, and yet this President can’t seem to forge together any semblance of a strategically sound path forward. Certainly it’s true that he inherited a misguided, American adventuristic policy from his predecessor, but rather than coming up with some organized, collaborative exit strategy with our Iraqi and Afghan partners, this egomaniac decided to just fold completely on the ground, while simultaneously embarking on an unchecked drone war.

All those reliable wailers on war crimes and American torture during the two GWB terms fell strangely silent, which screams loudly that they were nothing but political ideologues above all else. Where are all the protestors about an out of control executive branch that escalated a drone war into many countries beyond the geographical confines of any traditionally accepted sense of a “battlefield”?

Nightwatch, the excellent intelligence analysis site pointed out some important considerations regarding President Obama’s escalated drone war in the November 7,2013 edition (report here), referring to the selection of the Pakistani-Taliban’s new leader, Mullah Fazlullah:

“Fazlullah’s election signifies rejection of Prime Minister Sharif’s peace overture. It also highlights a degenerative leadership pattern resulting from the US program of leadership decapitation. First, there is always someone waiting for the chance to be leader. Second, the new leaders are less experienced and wise than the men they replace. Third, the new generation of leaders is more extreme and theologically rigid than its predecessors. Finally, the new leaders tend to be unknown to intelligence relative to their predecessors. Decapitation is not a permanent solution to an insurgency or an uprising.”

How the American public ever went along with such an unethical program where the executive branch operates its own hit list and we silently allow even American citizens to be summarily executed based on “secret” files compiled by the executive branch, with no trial or due process, but only the President and his CIA director seeming to decide who lives and who dies and why.  That a 16-year-old American kid was executed by a drone strike and the mainstream press yawned and took a pass on seriously investigating and reporting this shows how unreliable and politically motivated our “free press” really is.

Now that we’ve set the precedent for international lawlessness regarding our drone war, that fat chicken has come home to roost for this President and his CIA kill list organizer, John Brennan, as they now uneasily watch as 87 countries possess drone technology. Since President Obama set the international standard of striking with no respect to sovereignty or international norms, and his policy is a huge pile of scrambled policy eggs (Washington Times report here). He can run around flapping his wings, but he’s literally cut off his own head when it comes to moral force and setting a standard for others to follow. You know, it’s only fitting that this President will be the prime casualty of his own drone policy, decapitating his own leadership ability more than any terrorists.  Scrambled, over easy, nah more like eggs Benedict, a traitor to our American values.

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Just because you can, doesn’t mean you should

Here’s a must read opinion piece, A Judgment on Intelligence,  at The American Thinker on the latest spying brouhaha over the US eavesdropping on Angela Merkel’s cellphone.  The author, Herbert E. Meyer, begins, “Despite everything you’ve gleaned from spy novels and movies, the most important raw material for a successful intelligence service isn’t information; it’s judgment.”  From there he elaborates on that very issue of judgment.

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It’s called the Second Oldest Profession for a reason

It’s called the Second Oldest Profession for a reason.   This article posted on The XX Committee blog offers a much needed historical background on intelligence-gathering to put the media hype in the wake of the Snowden leaks in perspective.  Definitely worth your time.

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But hey, they sound good…

That old tired proverb, “necessity is the mother of invention” should be drilled into our military planners’ heads, as evidenced by this report in the “At War: Notes From the Front Lines” column in the New York Times a few days ago, “Insights Into How Insurgents Fought In Iraq”, by John Ismay, which chronicles a detailed look at not only the types of weaponry used by insurgents in Iraq, but even more importantly the creative and inventive ways in how they used them.   The article brings to the fore that there is no magic force equation, like our doctrinaire belief in “overwhelming force” being the only consideration in strategic planning.  We possessed all the force advantages and insurgents came along and improvised continuously, as this article explains, using even a weapon, the obsolete RKG-3 Soviet-era grenade in creative ways to capitalize on a convoy formation weakness, whereby they engaged close-up with our convoy straggler vehicles.  Ismay goes on to explain that Iraq was awash in all sorts of weaponry and insurgents made not only tactical decisions based on the terrain (often urban areas), but also were able to form strategic plans, where they adapted quickly and improvised, while we were slow at securing weapons caches.

The lessons learned from an enemy that improvises with a wide array of weapons, like in Iraq, will challenge our military planners in other hot spots, so rather than get caught up in COIN, 4th Generation War or any of the other theories, perhaps, we should take a page out of our adversaries’ playbook and put emphasis on being adaptable on the battlefield, giving commanders some leeway to improvise and get rid of some of the lawyers, bogging down our forces.  The first thing we need is what they have and we are sorely missing – strategic clarity.  They have a clearly understood mission, that even their most lowly suicidal nut embraces.  We have media-ready sound bytes.   And let’s face it, we might not be so successful in other battlefields against committed religious zealots, by showing up with suitcases of cash, trying to bribe cooperation and loyalty (not that we’ve been very successful thus far actually).  We need to quit with the PC-induced military theories and deal with the real facts on the ground, which most likely will look quite different from the propagandized claptrap the political generals are spouting on TV, with dewy-eyed reporters prefacing all this crapola with: “Today I am interviewing, General Bullshitter, a renowned military expert of his generation, blah, blah, blah.”  Then we get deluged in more crackpot theories, half-baked strategies that lead us nowhere………… but hey, they sound good and the clueless press and low information voters eat this up and repeat the lies.

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French Intelligence sees “steep rise” in Western mujahidin in Syria

20committee's avatarThe XX Committee

A detailed new report in the Parisian daily Le Monde, based on sources inside France’s foreign intelligence service (DGSE), paints a dire portrait of the rising number of Westerners going to wage jihad in Syria. I’m providing the highlights of this important assessment.

The jihadist routes to Syria have expanded significantly just since the summer. The unexpected resistance of the Bashar al-Assad regime has exerted a “power of attraction” in France and other countries. “Nothing like it has ever been seen before, even for Afghanistan,” a senior French intelligence official noted.

Western diplomats and spies have noted the steep rise in the number of mujahidin headed to Syria coming in from the Caucasus, especially Chechnya. Two transit points have been identified in Europe. The Austrian capital, Vienna, is a major junction for volunteers from the Caucasus who are traveling on to Syria via Turkey.

French intelligence has uncovered another…

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U.S. Middle East Policy: The Wrong Response to 9/11

Good article by Barry Rubin at The Counter Jihad Report.

U.S. Middle East Policy: The Wrong Response to 9/11.

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Following the map to American irrelevancy

More big picture strategic moves in the works hit the press lately and none of them are being made by the United States.  China brought up and escalated talk about a replacement currency for the US dollar and now, in light of our fiscal irresponsibility, they’re pushing hard  for it again and you know what, more countries might buy into that (story here).  And Putin continues to play chess, while Obama gloats about his “winning” this latest petty fiscal showdown with the Republicans in Congress.  Putin orchestrated the US ouster from using the base at Manas in Kyrgyzstan, putting our travel distance,  this is an “if” Hagel works out a deal with Romania to use a base there for supply routing, from 638 miles using Manas to Kabul to 2300 miles from Romania to Afghanistan (story here).  Yes, Mr. President,  you’re quite the strategic genius on the world stage and at home.  Can anyone spell the word “retreat”, because most assuredly others see America’s rear march commander in action and they eagerly want to close with an adversary in full retreat, waving a white flag.  This President can’t even define America’s national interests in real terms, but prefers to roost in dangerously delusional far-left cloud-cuckoo-land, while America’s adversaries keep their eyes and strategic objectives in sharp focus – no head in the clouds from their vantage point.  It’s very sad to be able to understand and appreciate your adversaries’ strategic moves, while being totally baffled and embarrassed by your own country’s ineptitude and cluelessness in every international endeavor.  We are not only losing in small strategic instances internationally, we’re losing American power in both reputation and in deed – all because of this President’s failure to understand America’s strategic national interests in the real world, not his college campus leftie causes.

America, in past generations, has had presidents who rise to the occasion and lead our country competently through perilous times without the benefit of actual military experience.  However, in times past it was a given that these men had a working knowledge of military history and geography.   A few missteps could be naive mistakes, but watching President Obama’s stream of anti-American moves we should be aware that  before us now, or maybe slinking around, leading us from behind, is one who is more inclined to side with our adversaries than our own military.  It’s frightening that more Americans can’t see that this man is dangerously working against us.  I wonder if he even understands the importance of supply lines to military operations, but then again for him soldiers are likely terrorists and terrorists are misunderstood freedom fighters.  Don’t let the bumbling explanations fool you – he’s deliberately and determinedly following his own map to American irrelevancy….. and moving at warp speed to get there.

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‘It never rains when I can make it pour” by David Duff

It never rains when I can make it pour

Honestly, I really do try to be cheerful, I mean, every Monday I give you, free of charge, several jokes to cheer you up but the fact is it is impossible to avoid the really bad news. And ‘over there’ the news is getting ‘worserer and worserer’. You might reply something to the effect of who gives a damn? Well, I do! I love the place despite its manifold faults and vices. And, like it or loath it, it looms alarmingly large on the global landscape. So for me, reading Jeremy Warner in The Telegraph and then Jeffrey Lord in The American Spectator has made me even more miserable than the steady rainfall outside my garret window has already done.

Mr. Warner (such an appropriate name) warns of the imminent death of the dollar as the world’s reserve currency. In doing so he joins a growing chorus:

That this position – what Giscard d’Estaing referred to as America’s “exorbitant
privilege” – could so casually be put at risk by politicians on Capitol Hill is
an extraordinary spectacle that may be indicative of a great power already
seriously on the wane.

However, he suggests that it might be a slower decline and fall than some suppose not least because so much of the world’s trade is conducted in dollars. Nevertheless, he sums up the predicament, thus:

Serious alternatives to the dollar, such as a global reserve currency, are
still a long way off, but the latest shenanigans on Capitol Hill have given the
search for them renewed and added momentum. The US is recklessly throwing away its future.

All that, of course, is a symptom of a malignant disease at the heart of the American body-politic. Jeffrey Lord, in a long and detailed examination seeks to define the cause. In his opinion, and it is one I share, it is the incessant and semi-secret attack of surreptitious Marxism. If that makes me (and him) sound like born-again Joe McCarthys, so be it, but any detailed examination of the Democrat party, the higher reaches of the American academy, the civil service, the judiciary and now, according to Mr. Lord, the armed services, would convince anyone that whilst most of the participants are the usual “useful idiots” the controllers are Red in tooth and claw! Meanwhile, the stupid and stupified traditional leadership of the Republican party remain oblivious still believing that they live in the ‘good ol’ days’ of schmoozing and deal-making:

The difference — the central and critical difference — is that after decades of left-wing devotion to the hijacking of America, to the idea of transforming it [my emphasis], there are still Republicans and even some conservatives who don’t understand the nature of either their opponents or their opponents’ objectives.

They simply do not understand that the nature of the Democrat beast has changed irrevocably and thus, the war inside the Republican party between those who do and those who do not is infinitely more lethal than that between them and the Democrats. If indeed a catastrophe occurs then the benefits – oh yes, there are always benefits to someone! – will flow to the organisation that has planned it and instigated it.

The above post from October 16, 2013 has been reprinted with permission from the erudite David Duff at Duff and Nonsense, who writes about news, politics, lots of military history from a wonderfully refreshing British point of view  (pssst, and he posts a lot of jokes too).

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G. Murphy Donovan: “The Decline and Fall of National Security”

With the advent of the internet, many common sense understandings about copyright protections and acceptable usage of other writers’ works seem to have flown out the window.  Many times I’ve been tempted to just post entire articles or pictures from other websites, but my “following the rules” nature caused me to hesitate.  Stratfor authorizes reprinting their articles, so I took the liberty of posting that, but I’ll continue writing my  rather boring little pieces about great articles and offering a link.  Here’s another very insightful piece by none other than the amazing G. Murphy Donovan (GMD), in which he cuts through the trendy strategic claptrap and hones in on strategic ground truth and our national security  demise (from The American Thinker, “The Decline and Fall of National Security”).  GMD chronicles the American intelligence demise coupled with the rampant politicization of our top military brass.  I would add one other factor to his list – the complete collapse of a shared national security viewpoint among our two main political parties and amongst our populace.  Many days reading or watching the news, it sure looks like each side views the opposing domestic political party as the main national security threat rather than any foreign entity.  From biblical times to today, that old adage that a house divided cannot long stand presages our demise, unless we can find a way to fix our foundational damage and rebuild a more sound structure – tall order with the fractured polity and populace in America presently.

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