This morning I commented using my susanholly user name at National Review, “Don’t Trust Putin In the Mideast”, by Victor Davis Hanson. My regular user name there is “mhere” (Peace), lol, but with this Disqus thing, it keeps me signed in to my user name at the American Thinker, susanholly. Just want to be clear – these are my user names and my comments. Apologies to those who get bored with the redundancy, but I took my plan from yesterday and added a few more thoughts to it:
susanholly Thursday, October 8, 2015 11:07 AM, 8 hours ago
The other day on FOX News I heard a new “idea” from Michael O’Hanlon from the Brookings Institution and also the same general plan from former ambassador, Dennis Ross – ta-dummmmm, hold the applause, it’s “The Bosnia Plan”.
Generally, this plan envisions a partitioned Syria with safe zones
for the various factions and get this, the Russians are supposed to help secure this and maybe the Turks and who knows maybe the unicorns, pixies and leprechauns can magically appear too.
There’s this delusional trapped thinking that paralyzes so many of
these academic strategic analysts, who only talk to other like-minded insular thinkers. No new ideas, no bold moves, just regurgitated, echo-chamber nonsense. So, try this on for size – if Assad falls, ISIS will seize control of all of Syria. This will be a seismic event for the “Caliphate” and IT will encourage more radical extremism, because nothing encourages followers more than being on a winning team. It motivates people to sign up.
Ross, O’Hanlon, the entire Obama administration argue the opposite.
They say Assad staying will encourage more jihadists, but here’s the catch, the only way to avoid ISIS seizing control of all of Syria is for someone to fight ISIS and the Russians have put together an alliance to do that.
The reality on the ground determines the options available -a smart strategist should try to seize this opportunity for America to change course, talk to the Russians – work out a coordinated effort to defeat ISIS and guess what, if we act, a lot of the Arab leaders will gravitate toward the US alliance, because they will want to counter the Iranian influence. Balancing the push and pull from both sides of the Shia/Sunni divide will be easier to work out with the Russians than with the Shias and Sunnis frankly.
We do not need to become BFFs with Putin, but we must act and since Russia is acting, ISIS will retreat back into Iraq. We should prepare to cut them off at the pass and that means coordinating and informing the Russians and our ME allies of OUR PLANS. We maintain total control and decision-making over our decisions. The hand-wringers have no plan, only imaginary safe zones, Cold War era fear-mongering, and unreliable maps
(http://libertybellediaries.com… from the Institute for the Study of War, which feed the Obama narrative (LIES). The real threat to America is not Putin, it’s this administration and their strategic paralysis!
Saber-rattling about Stalin,Communism, and the Cold War gets us nowhere! Putin is propping up Assad. If Assad falls, ISIS will gain total control over Syria, while the West blabbers about war crimes. The only way to allow a political process or international pressure to impact Assad is for some stability to return to Syria and then let the good folks in Brussels rally the world to that cause. Putin might be inclined to sacrifice Assad if there’s a Russia-friendly regime in Syria to replace Assad.
We need to keep our eyes on REGIONAL STABILITY, which benefits everyone, except ISIS and other jihadist nutjobs. Power vacuums are a more immediate threat to American national security than Russian long-range grand strategy moves. With Obama and Kerry at the helm, we can not do anything about countering that, but we could make a strong strategic move to fight ISIS in Iraq, while Russia shakes that center of gravity in Syria. In the process, we might be able to redeem some American credibility with our allies in the region.
Let the Cold War die – look ahead and try to think of a different approach!