So, the news and media talking heads can’t stop talking about what IS is. IS is a CALIPHATE emerging, hummm, doesn’t that sound like the oft mocked pipe dream of Osama bin Laden and friends? Well, here I’ll answer for you – yes it does. In January our astute President, beneficiary of the world’s most magnificent intelligence apparatus in the world, stated:
“The analogy we use around here sometimes, and I think is accurate, is if a jayvee team puts on Lakers uniforms that doesn’t make them Kobe Bryant,” Obama told Remnick. “I think there is a distinction between the capacity and reach of a bin Laden and a network that is actively planning major terrorist plots against the homeland versus jihadists who are engaged in various local power struggles and disputes, often sectarian.” (http://www.theblaze.com/stories/2014/01/20/obama-dismisses-al-qaeda-resurgence-theyre-jv/)
So, juxtapose that brilliant analysis with his current assessment from his August 20th speech on the beheading of American journalist, JimFoley:
“Let’s be clear about ISIL. They have rampaged across cities and villages — killing innocent, unarmed civilians in cowardly acts of violence. They abduct women and children, and subject them to torture and rape and slavery. They have murdered Muslims — both Sunni and Shia — by the thousands. They target Christians and religious minorities, driving them from their homes, murdering them when they can for no other reason than they practice a different religion. They declared their ambition to commit genocide against an ancient people.
So ISIL speaks for no religion. Their victims are overwhelmingly Muslim, and no faith teaches people to massacre innocents. No just God would stand for what they did yesterday, and for what they do every single day. ISIL has no ideology of any value to human beings. Their ideology is bankrupt. They may claim out of expediency that they are at war with the United States or the West, but the fact is they terrorize their neighbors and offer them nothing but an endless slavery to their empty vision, and the collapse of any definition of civilized behavior.
And people like this ultimately fail. They fail, because the future is won by those who build and not destroy and the world is shaped by people like Jim Foley, and the overwhelming majority of humanity who are appalled by those who killed him.” (http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2014/08/20/statement-president)
President Obama chooses to once again ignore the threat posed by this emerging CALIPHATE. He summarily dismisses their declaration of war on the US and the West, still choosing to view them as a localized menace to their neighbors. Once they begin to launch terrorist attacks on the US and the West, perhaps he will reluctantly, albeit too late, realize they are the ones capitalizing on America “ending” the war on terror, by waging a full-fledged offensive to defeat us in that selfsame war that he declared ended. Choosing to underestimate the persistence, dedication and global reach of Islamists (the tentacles of Al Qaeda) by simply rhetorically parsing language, while they are furiously planning/training/expanding their capabilities, demonstrates that this president and his flunkies will never be able to protect America. They neither see any threats that might interfere with their domestic political agenda, nor have the strategic vision to focus on threats through a big picture prism juxtaposed with short and mid-range distance assessments. Planning in reactionary mode fits and starts is the only method they know – so, this one is going to be a mission-creeper of military responses rather than part of a comprehensive offensive plan to defeat the CALIPHATE.
General John R. Allen wrote, “IS must be destroyed and we must move quickly to pressure its entire “nervous system,” break it up, and destroy its pieces.” (http://www.defenseone.com/ideas/2014/08/gen-allen-destroy-islamic-state-now/92012/) We can crush IS, but then what? That is the same dilemma we faced before and I honestly think we should let IS run rampant a little longer, until the actual neighboring state leaders begin to feel really pressured and threatened by them. Make them choose a side, instead of rushing in to shield them. It would take seeing waves of horrific carnage in the media and on their videos, but it might invoke enough fear in neighboring states to really act this time. They must be forced to choose an Islamist future/potential extermination for being apostates or joining the 21st century modern world. With large segments of disaffected citizens, particularly young men, these Muslim countries still are sitting on a powder keg and our going to war on IS will fuel the IS mobilization effort, with us not even having considered any strategies to thwart that.
A “war on terror” redux will NOT solve the long-term strategic issue of global Islamist Ascendancy or even the more localized power vacuum problems. We need to think more about the end objective, which is the defeat of the global Islamist movement and to do that requires putting and sustaining pressure on the Arab/Muslim facilitators of this virulent Jihad movement. A few serious imperative objectives would still be becoming energy independent, securing our borders, setting expectations of “acceptable conduct” and following through on punishing the state players who support/aid/abet the Islamist agenda. We need to face down the “religion of peace” trope and say, “fine, you practice your “religion” however you like, but the minute one of my citizens is murdered for being an “infidel” and your fingerprints are connected, we will consider you an accomplice!” And then we start following through on really cutting off military support, financial support, etc. to the abettors.
Only the Muslim world can really defeat this Islamist Ascendency and until some real leaders among them emerge, this scourge will continue. And sad to say, their religious authorities seem confident their “kill all the infidels” belief is a requirement of their faith. So, without a religious reformation of Islam itself, in conjunction with strong international pressure to change, we’ll end up with more of the same.
PS: Here was my assessment from a 2/2012 email to Gladius:
““The whole Mid-East is set to go up in flames with radical Islamists gaining control of actual states and our media and government glides blithely along, still waxing on about the Arab Spring and “democracy, while the reality is Islamists have made monumental gains in the last year and present a threat that will define the next few decades. Sure, Al Qaeda may not be the prescient threat at the moment, but these Al Qaeda elements will be absorbed and utilized by these Muslim Brotherhood elements gaining power in various Mid-East governments. Our government is clueless and totally oblivious to the looming crisis developing.”
Being right doesn’t give me any comfort though, because we’ve got the same nitwits running our country:-(