The Yemen “Success” Story In Flames

Malcolm Pollack wrote an excellent post on the Houthi coup in Yemen, “Rock and Roll, Houthi Coup”.  Malcolm compiled the pertinent facts  on Yemen being another  Muslim failed state, clinging to the edge of the cliff – economic despair, a population reliant on government for its basic needs, a water supply imperiled by khat production, and internecine fighting.   He states:

“About Yemen, President Obama — who, when it comes to foreign policy and a whole lot more, has been described of late as “King Midas in reverse” — had this to say back in September:

This strategy of taking out terrorists who threaten us, while supporting partners on the front lines, is one that we have successfully pursued in Yemen and Somalia for years.

As always, up is down, black is white, etc. Meanwhile, this:

The collapse of the U.S.-backed government of Yemen on Thursday has left America’s counter-terrorism campaign “paralyzed”, two U.S. security officials said, dealing a major setback to Washington’s fight against al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP), a potent wing of the militant network.”

I recommend you read his entire excellent post.   Now, along with collapse of the Yemeni government,  to the north, Saudi Arabia’s relic of a king passed away.  So, we’ve got the “kingdom” of Saudi Arabia passing the crown to a 79 year-old, who reportedly suffers from dementia, while the court swarms with intrigue. Now, this kingdom feels threatened on all fronts – existentially from Shia expansion, from radicalized Sunni/Salafi Islamist groups, and from crashing oil prices.  In reaction to these external threats they’re building walls (a defensive posture) to keep foreign dangers at bay and bankrolling President Obama’s half-hearted battle to defeat IS/ISIL/ISIS (a money down the drain effort).  John McCreary’s Nightwatch predicts, the new king will likely move toward more conservative domestic postures, which makes sense, to try to preserve power and maintain political stability within the kingdom.  Nightwatch’s analysis states:

“Be prepared for policy changes. The instinctive reaction of living systems is to contract during times of internal stress, and even more so during a leadership crisis. Leadership transition is a time of vulnerability. Most systems increase their defensive vigilance during that period.

Applying that to Saudi Arabia, guards will be extra vigilant to protect the new King and the Crown Prince. Restrictions on population movements and border controls usually tighten. Dissidents and miscreants usually go to ground for a while.

The protective and defensive instinct also applies to policies. That instinct ensures the continuation of the bedrock principles of a state, but not necessarily more discretionary initiatives. In Saudi Arabia, the monarchy, Wahhabism, the tribal heritage and oil are four of the bedrock principles. Experiments in modernity are expendable.

The emphasis in a leadership transition always is stability because when a King dies, the Kingdom can be at risk. Abdallah did all that a reigning monarch can do to protect the monarchy. Readers must expect that his policies and programs will be modified, assuming they survive at all.”

Shia powers smell weakness, as do the radicalized bands of Islamist nutcases, emboldening them to embark on ambitious offensive measures to seize more territory in rudderless states, left from the oh so glorious Arab Spring, our ass backwards, leader from behind, championed.  Sorry, namby-pamby, narrative writers at the White House, the rest of the world isn’t in the business of selling Obama t-shirts, Obama policies or the Obama “legacy” (#ChickensCameHomeToRoost), so they already wrote Obama off as a weak, unreliable partner.

So, we’ve got bands of drug-crazed, drug-financed Islamists and batshit crazy Shia mullahs fighting to rule swaths of war-ravaged, barren sand pits, swarming with millions of hopeless, starving, illiterate people. Yemen is just one more to add to the list.

Don’t expect the Obama administration to do more than rewrite their “narrative” and send John Kerry bearing love beads, groveling to the Iranians once more, begging for them to cooperate on Peace in the region. “Up in smoke” goes the Obama foreign policy on Yemen, hailed only months ago as a huge “success” – like Somalia, no less (yep, failed state Somalia is a Obama success too, who knew….).  To round out President Obama’s capitulation to the threat we can not name – (Islamic Imperialism) , stay tuned, because soon we will see how, the Iranian regime, Terror Central, incorporates nuclear weapons into their OFFENSIVE  MILITARY POSTURE.   One can only wonder if the Obama administration has chewed too much khat like the Somalis and Yemenis or scarier to consider, perhaps these stellar graduates from some of America’s finest universities really believe their own bullshit, oops, “narratives”.

Psst, no, no, no watch and see, it’s those nefarious “right-wing, gun-toting, clinging to their religion Americans” (ostensibly, those dastardly WASPs)  who pose the greatest threat to America.  Let me sip another cup of tea:-)

2 Comments

Filed under Culture Wars, Foreign Policy, General Interest, Islam, Military, Politics, Terrorism

2 responses to “The Yemen “Success” Story In Flames

  1. Minta Marie Morze

    Liberty,

    I watched the Pro Bowl yesterday, because I love football. What does this have to do with the situation in Yemen? Simply this: No one at the Pro Bowl game wants any injuries, because these are very, very valuable players and neither the teams they come from nor the players themselves want to shorten or destroy a career. So the Pro Bowl has changed some rules and also devolved into a game wherein the players are careful to avoid any move that might do damage. OK, sometimes, in the spirit of the contest, someone’s exhaustive training subconsciously kicks in and he makes a great pass reception or runs really fast, but for the most part it is a strangely slowed-down and calmer game. You won’t see the kind of spirit and intensity that kept the obviously injured Sherman in the game last weekend. (I was frantically rooting for the other team, but I admired Sherman’s courage and grim determination.) Watching the Pro Bowl is a surreal experience.

    When I watched the news reports about Yemen, I had that same strange sense of watching a deliberately slowed process. Of course, it is a murderous exchange that is going on among the forces in the area; however, it was not the ferocity of ISIS or Boko Haram that was attacking in Yemen: It seemed less Blitzkrieg and more Sitzkrieg. So I wondered about it.

    Liberty, your links and others explain a good deal that was puzzling me about the Yemen situation. Thanks!

    When stepping back and investigating the universal situation, more than ever before it seem to me that we are looking at a deliberately engineered World War that presents the almost archetypal Manichaeism theme spread across a battlefield encompassing the entire Globe. The Darkness against the Light, Evil against the Good. These are no ‘ignorant armies clashing by night’—there are brains behind this war, on both sides. Educated Barbarians, to whom no evil act is beyond their mandate, strike against Decent Individuals who would much prefer to live at peace and who deliberately limit themselves in the scope of their battlefield activities.

    We are inexorably engaged in a great worldwide civil war in which the enemies are intermixed to a degree never experienced before. It is for the most part the Collectivists—of all ideologies and faiths—against the Individualists. There are no noncombatants’, though most will recognize this truth only at a moment of direct confrontation with the Enemy or a true Crisis. The greatest danger we face is that the side of Evil most often clothes itself in the camouflage of normalcy. It is the essence of Evil that it dissimulates; and, though it will grow bolder as it envelops the part of its surroundings that surrender or removes itself, the masquerade is its favorite game, and sudden ferocity its favorite move. Throughout the world, for the most part, the true uniforms and insignia of the two sides are borne on the soul, and there are none amongst us but God who can perceive such a transcendent emblem when it is silent and still, or lying.

    It is not what is said or written, what causes are professed, what word-play paints a meaningful image, that proclaims the inner heraldry of belief. As has been said, Satan’s greatest trick is to convince us that he doesn’t exist, that of his followers is to seem saints when most they play the devil.

  2. Minta, Excellent points! Sadly, for the past few years I’ve felt the world is moving inexorably toward a global conflagration, no matter how many narratives this White House writes stating they ended America’s involvement in war. The United States and/or Europe don’t have the power or influence to reverse the tide of the civilizational collapse taking place across large sweeps of the Muslim world.

    Nature abhors a vacuum and competent leadership to bolster a nation/state model of governance in the wake of the “Arab Spring” failed to emerge and this growing instability will accelerate. Adding to the chaos and increasing the potential for flashpoints that could quickly engulf the world are the addition of nuclear weapons smack dab in the middle of the mess, fueling not only a nuclear weapons race within the Sunni power structure, but also tossing a wild card into the precariously wobbly house of cards, because who knows what rules the mullahs in Iran will play by.

    The area is rife with extremely large masses of increasingly desperate, displaced peoples, competing for basic survival needs from poorly managed international intermediaries and local power brokers. On top of that the ranks continue to swell among diffuse, unpredictable, violent hordes of barbarians, riding under the general flag of Islamic jihad, but truly looking more like psychopaths, common criminals and opportunists rather some organized religious movement. Now, it’s obvious that other larger players within both the Sunni and Shia houses, not only refuse to reign in these mad dogs of Islam (think that was a GMD phrase), but continue to fund and manipulatively try to use them to further their larger regional goals.

    The West too abets the mayhem, by chaotic policies, strategic paralysis and willful blindness to the rising danger. And to the east, China flexes its muscles and that mad social experiment leaves them with a hugely out of whack male/female ratio and that much unchecked testosterone bodes poorly for peace in the region, imho. http://www.cnn.com/2012/11/14/opinion/china-challenges-one-child-brooks/

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